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More Climate Backtracking: “A Warming Arctic Drove Earth Into The Little Ice Age”

They’re acting like this is new news, as if nobody had ever thought of it before: ‘Scientists Discover A Warming Arctic Drove Earth Into The Little Ice Age’. They’re even calling it “surprising”.

As reported by MSN, following an era known as the medieval warm period–so that did exist then…?–temperatures in Europe in the early 15th century plunged in what has become known as The Little Ice Age (LIA).

This remarkable multicentennial period of cold brought increased glaciation to the mountains, an expansion of sea ice, crop failures, famines and disease across the European continent. Flip-flopping summers –with extremes at both ends of the spectrum– were chased by brutally harsh winters, during which rivers and canals routinely froze over. In the UK, for example, the first River Thames “frost fair” was held in 1608, and was an almost annual occurrence until the last one in 1814–so before the AGW Party’s proposed date for the start of the industrial revolution (≈1880) when global temperatures supposedly began climbing due to increasing CO2 emissions …[one day we’ll laugh]…

There are, as there should be and as is healthy, numerous potential explanations for what caused temperatures to plummet during the LIA. Top of the list are heightened levels of volcanic activity, reduced solar activity, and even the impact of the black death reducing the human population–Bill Gates’ fave.

But scientists at the University of Massachusetts believe they have found a “new” key factor in why temperatures plunged to their coldest in 10,000 years–and they’re pretending like it hasn’t already been covered by ‘alternative’ outlets for years: “Surprisingly,” the researchers say, “the cooling appears to have been triggered by an unusually warm episode.”

The “discovery” came after Lead author Francois Lapointe, a postdoctoral researcher and lecturer in geosciences at the University of Massachusetts, and Raymond Bradley, distinguished professor in geosciences, also at the University of Massachusetts, came across new data suggesting a rapid change in sea temperatures.

Their previous work, which built a 3,000-year reconstruction of North Atlantic sea surface temperatures, revealed a sudden change from very warm conditions in the late 1300s to unprecedented cold conditions in the early 1400s, only 20 years later.

Using various sources to obtain detailed marine records, Dr Lapointe and Professor Bradley discovered there had been an abnormally strong northward transfer of warm water in the late 1300s which peaked around 1380. As a result, the waters south of Greenland and the Nordic Seas became much warmer than usual.

“No one has recognized this before,” said Dr Lapointe…!?

The researchers explained that there is a transfer of warm water from the tropics to the Arctic. It’s a well-recognized process called the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation (AMOC), which can be likened to a planetary conveyor belt. When it is functioning normally, warm water from the tropics flows north along the coast of Northern Europe, and when it reaches higher latitudes and meets colder Arctic waters, it loses heat and becomes denser, causing the water to sink. This deep-water formation then flows south along the coast of North America and continues on to circulate around the world.

AMOC
This topographic map shows the schematic circulation of surface currents (solid curves) and deep currents (dashed curves) of the Atlantic Ocean, which form a portion of the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation (AMOC). The colors of the curves indicate approximate temperatures.


However, in the late 1300s, the AMOC strengthened significantly, which meant that far more warm water than usual was moving north, which in turn caused rapid Arctic ice loss. Over the course of just a few decades in the late 1300s and early 1400s, vast amounts of icy waters flowed into the North Atlantic, waters that not only cooled the North Atlantic, but also diluted its saltiness, ultimately causing the AMOC to collapse. It is this collapse of the conveyor belt which triggered the substantial cooling suffered in Europe, the researchers said.

Worryingly, a startling-similar process appears to be underway today (there’s something amiss with The Beaufort Gyre, too).

In recent decades, particularly during the the 1960s and 1980s, we’ve witnessed a rapid strengthening of the AMOC, a phenomenon linked with the persistently high pressure in the atmosphere over Greenland. Dr Lapointe and Professor Bradley believe that what’s playing out now is the same atmospheric situation that occurred just prior to the Little Ice Age. But what could have set off that persistent high-pressure event in the 1380s? The answer, according to Dr Lapointe, can be found in trees.

The researchers compared their findings to a new record of solar activity revealed by radiocarbon isotopes preserved in tree rings, and discovered that unusually high solar activity was recorded in the late 1300s.

Increased solar activity tends to lead to high atmospheric pressure over Greenland. It also correlates with fewer volcanic eruptions, which means less ash is in the air — a cleaner atmosphere results in earth being more responsive to changes in solar output: “Hence the effect of high solar activity on the atmospheric circulation in the North-Atlantic was particularly strong,” said Dr Lapointe.

But this is where the MSN article fails to offer any honest answers and/or comparisons to today. It trips up, likely due it having to adhere to a dogmatic narrative and dutifully tow the AGW Party line in order to have any chance of being published.

The article goes on to suggest that there isn’t enough ice remaining in the Arctic to cause such an injection of cold water into the North Atlantic today–which is absurd; but then immediately contradicts itself with this quote from Dr Lapointe: “We do have to keep an eye on the build-up of freshwater in the Beaufort Sea which has increased by 40 per cent in the past two decades. … Climate models do not capture these events reliably and so we may be underestimating future ice loss from the ice sheet, with more freshwater entering the North Atlantic, potentially leading to a weakening or collapse of the AMOC.”

A collapse of the AMOC would plunge Europe and much of North America into ice age conditions almost overnight, and Dr Lapointe, at least to my mind, is a scientist warning of a genuine impending catastrophe–perhaps one about to be triggered by the release of The Beaufort Gyre, often referred to as the “ticking climate bomb”.

What the MSN article also fails to mention is that those dates cited as being the beginning of the modern strengthening of the AMOC (1960s through 1980s) were decades of extraordinarily high solar output –the highest in thousands of years, in fact– and which culminated in the end of the modern Grand Solar Maximum (2007-or-so), so adding further support to the theory.

Also not addressed is NASA’s longstanding research showing that while Earth’s overall temperature trends colder during prolonged bouts of low solar activity (such as today’s descent into the next Grand Solar Minimum, which likely commenced during Solar Cycle 24), not all regions experience the chill. As visualized in NASA’s ‘Maunder Minimum Reconstruction Map’ (shown below), areas such as the Arctic, Alaska and the North Atlantic actually warm during spells of otherwise ‘global’ cooling.

Temp change between 1780 (a year of normal solar activity) and 1680 (a year within the depths of the Maunder Minimum) — NASA.


The authors, whose research can be found in the journal Science Advances, conclude that there is now “an urgent need” for further research to address all these uncertainties.

Agreed.

One way or another, the COLD TIMES are returning, the mid-latitudes are REFREEZING–likely in line with historically low solar activitycloud-nucleating Cosmic Rays, and a meridional jet stream flow (among other forcings, including the impending release of the Beaufort Gyre).

Prepare accordingly — learn the facts, relocate if need be and grow your own.

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36 Thoughts to “More Climate Backtracking: “A Warming Arctic Drove Earth Into The Little Ice Age””

  1. Deb

    Cap-
    Interesting pic at the top of this article. Is that Atlantis going under the waves?

  2. Memere613

    I actually had just read the article and wanted to email it to you lol

    I guess we can just sit back and let the sheep come to their senses.

    1. Fran

      @Stephen Wilde Interesting article, thanks!

    2. Fran

      The problem I have with the ‘notch-delay theory’ is that we don’t actually understand the TSI, we don’t understand the Maunder Minimum, and to predict a follow up on Earth’s climate after approx. 11 years of a given behavior of the Sun, in a given cycle, is at the very best a rough approximation. We don’t even know if our present knowledge about solar cycles with an approximate period of 11 years is a good description of the Sun behavior in general or if it’s just a phenomenon that has happened in the last few centuries but could be different in special situations like LIA or full glacial inception.
      For example, the comparison of the beginning and the end of cycle #24 shows remarkable differences in solar radiation in the 2007-2010 period and the 2017-2021, with the first period seeming to have had more influence on Earth’s climate than the second, despite the fact that in terms of number of spots the 2nd period should be considered “more intense” (by a factor of 2 perhaps) than the 1st. We don’t understand these types of nuances and we don’t understand more profound phenomena like the Maunder Minimum, for example, and because of that good part of what human “science” claims today to explain Earth’s climate in relation with the Sun seems to a very high degree pure speculation.

      1. Ray

        “…seems to a very high degree pure speculation…”

        Speculation, yes; but not pure speculation

        In the Philosophy of Science ‘pure’ means ‘devoid of empirical elements.’ Astrophysics has moved beyond that stage. Every modern speculation which has stayed ‘in play,’ as it were, is plausible because it is backed by considerable empirical evidence. Much of it is rather indirect evidence however. That is a problem.

        I rather tend to pay attention to people who actually go out on a limb and predict things, for a definite reason, and get it right; rather than cagey wafflers who wait for something to happen and then say ‘Just as expected !’ (‘Hello, Climate Scientists. Are your ears burning?’

        Piers Corbyn among others pointed out a long time ago that the true sun-spot cycle is 22 years long because of the magnetic flipping and that odd-numbered cycles involve a different magnetic influence on the earth and that Cycle 25 will cause wavy jet streams – which is what we are getting.

  3. Ray

    Frankly, all these pseudo-scientists are simply full of shit, aren’t they? Because they really know – as opposed to having silly, ad hoc, ‘just-so’ stories – nothing at all about climate.

    THIS particular effusion stinks of “Getting your retaliation in first!” When, and if, it suddenly gets ‘cold’ in the experience of ordinary people in Europe and America, they will be able to say ” We predicted all this, i.e. that as a result of that naughty global warming we would ACTUALLY have an Ice Age!” And if it doesn’t get cold, all this fall-back, face-saving will be airbrushed out of official memory by the censors. Just as was all the rubbish about global cooling in the newspapers of the 1970s.

    It is simply dizzying how every single thing which captures the mind of the sheeple turns out to be an example of psy-ops. Anybody remember the shrill anti-vaping propaganda campaign? All the ex-smokers were going to die!
    The common element of all these planted stories is to rubbish any idea of ordinary people making decisions which work for them. That would be Capitalism or Moral Responsibility or some such stinking right-wing, patriarchal philosophy, wouldn’t it?

    1. Doktor seltsame Liebe

      It is simply dizzying how every single thing which captures the mind of the sheeple turns out to be an example of psy-ops.

      The Last Days of the Covidian Cult… lotsa cult delusions and psyops.

      This isn’t going to be pretty, folks. The downfall of a death cult rarely is. There is going to be wailing and gnashing of teeth, incoherent fanatical jabbering, mass deleting of embarrassing tweets.
      There’s going to be a veritable tsunami of desperate rationalizing, strenuous denying, shameless blame-shifting, and other forms of ass-covering, as suddenly former Covidian Cult members make a last-minute break for the jungle before the fully-vaxxed-and-boosted “Safe and Effective Kool-Aid” servers get to them. Yes, that’s right, as I’m sure you’ve noticed, the official Covid narrative is finally falling apart, or is being hastily disassembled, or historically revised, right before our eyes. The “experts” and “authorities” are finally acknowledging that the “Covid deaths” and “hospitalization” statistics are artificially inflated and totally unreliable (which they have been from the very beginning), and they are admitting that their miracle “vaccines” don’t work (unless you change the definition of the word “vaccine”), and that they have killed a few people, or maybe more than a few people, and that lockdowns were probably “a serious mistake.” The point is, the “Apocalyptic Pandemic” PSYOP has reached its expiration date. After almost two years of mass hysteria over a virus that causes mild-to-moderate common-cold or flu-like symptoms (or absolutely no symptoms whatsoever) in about 95% of the infected and the overall infection fatality rate of which is approximately 0.1% to 0.5%, people’s nerves are shot.
      We are all exhausted. Even the Covidian cultists are exhausted. And they are starting to abandon the cult en masse. It was always mostly just a matter of time.

      As Klaus Schwab said, “the pandemic represent[ed] a rare but narrow window of opportunity to reflect, reimagine, and reset our world.”
      https://consentfactory.org/2022/01/18/the-last-days-of-the-covidian-cult/
      https://www.fromrome.info/
      https://articles.mercola.com/sites/articles/archive/2022/01/19/pandemic-narrative-undergoes-radical-u-turn.aspx

      1. Ray

        “…Covidian cultists…”

        England changed its policy this time around (Omicron variant) and did not impose a meaningful extra lockdown.

        The wave peaked first in London and now everywhere:

        https://covid.joinzoe.com/post/omicron-falling-fast-but-new-uptick-detected-in-children

        It has always been a most infuriating matter that countries impose lockdowns just as a wave is peaking and then tell their people – who believe it – that the credit for the subsequent improvement is to be shared between the lockdown and the brilliant government that ordered it..

        It is being demonstrated now in England that leaving things alone does not make any difference. Eventually you are going to fall ill or you are not. Of course the government is claiming that it is all because of the vaccines! And perhaps they reduce severity even if they do not reduce transmission. But, in any case, it is much easier to ignore the blandishments of Big Pharma than to risk being arrested by prowling police enforcers of mask-wearing.

        Meanwhile in crack-down loving France:

        https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/country/france/

    2. Kern

      to Ray: agreed. I myself am tired of the psy-ops crap. I simply need facts and truth. Thankfully electroverse is and has been giving as best he can the facts I need to anticipate weather (climate) changes before local weather “forecasters” use wrong models. However, at least there is talk now of the meridional jetstream affecting weather. yup…from local weather prople.

  4. the walnutter Down Under

    ” I simply need facts and truth. ”
    You and me both.
    Where I start is the Bible.
    Written and preserved over 6000 years by One who is outside of time, who defines what is right or wrong, who is the definition of love.
    The useful thing is that those people who truly agree with the God of the Bible generally also can be trusted to speak truth and live truth.
    Hardly ever comfortable or easy; but still worth the effort , if we have a perspective of eternity. That perspective is too frightening for most people, and any story is used to avoid that reality.

  5. Andrew Stone

    Thank you Cap!
    GIGO (garbage in garbage out) can even apply to independent critical thinkers if they have no non-garbage to process.
    Thanks for the truthful input.
    You ARE making a difference!

    1. terrence22

      GIGO also means Gospel in, Gospel out

      1. Andrew Stone

        Had not heard that one until now.
        “GIGO” was originally a 70’s/80’s programmer’s saying. Bad code produces garbage.
        I like your version, although I’m not clear on the “out” part.
        Does that represent the positive effects?

        1. Andrew Stone

          To be more accurate, since a computer takes input, and processes it to produce output, GIGO was technically referring to “bad” data being processed.
          If code is written very well, much improper input can be eliminated, but generally not everything.
          Wow.
          Way to get off topic right? 😊

          1. Deb

            I think GO refers to witnessing.

          2. Ray

            ‘…”bad” data being processed. ‘

            GIGO may indeed have been referring just to the quality of the program itself, in the very early days of instructing computers; when people actually wrote in machine language. Once Compilers came in that was not such a problem. The more general idea, that arguments can be valid but have a false conclusion if the premises are untrue, has been around since the Ancient Greeks invented formal logic, and clarified the distinction between the form of an argument and its substance.

            I think GIGO became such an all-purpose, scornful putdown as it is useful to fend off people who believe “Computer says!” and “Computer studies show!” is clever debating.

  6. Here is my contribution to the electroverse. http://www.iceagegardener.com
    Here is a PhD in Reality. http://www.nwosurvivalguide.com

    Cheers!

    1. Deb

      Pretty impressive! (NWO Survival Guide).

      But I cannot agree with him that the root of all the evil he portrays-which evil I do agree with- is money.

      The true root is spiritual wickedness. Striking at money is simply hacking another limb off the tree. If you want to uproot the tree, you must strike against the evil that anchors it.

      “For we wrestle not with flesh and blood, but against powers and principalities, and spiritual wickedness in high places.”
      Ephesians 6

  7. TheMronz

    A hugely informative Electoverse article.

    It seems as though during cold periods the Gulfstream runs out of inertia and releases its warm waters mid Atlantic. Excluding Alaska, the Northern Hemisphere temperature profile from 1680 looks much like it does today.

    Its going to be fascinating seeing which climate ‘experts’ jump ship first, and which sink without a trace along with the vessel.
    A spectacular bonfire of the vanities may ensue.

  8. Chris Norman

    There is something very odd here.

    “which built a 3,000-year reconstruction of North Atlantic sea surface temperatures, revealed a sudden change from very warm conditions in the late 1300s to unprecedented cold conditions in the early 1400s, only 20 years later”.

    The 1300s were very cold as recorded history shows us.
    A reconstruction of sea surface temp for 13/14 century? how did they do that?

    “Using various sources to obtain DETAILED MARINE RECORDS, Dr Lapointe and Professor Bradley discovered there had been an abnormally strong northward transfer of warm water in the late 1300s”
    Sorry, but to believe that takes a degree of credulousness that I don’t possess.

    1. Andrew Stone

      – Chris
      This certainly does appear highly unusual in terms of how we generally think about such things.
      What is your thinking on this?

  9. Chris Norman

    There are no detailed Marine records for the 1300s. The only detailed records from those times come from various manifestations of the church, secretaries of royalty and city accountants.
    A computer program that can give an accurate rendition of three thousand years of North Atlantic SSTs is in my opinion very unlikely to exist.
    I am currently convinced we have just entered a GSM, that great cold is coming. this based on years of reading about climate with an open mind.
    It could be that some people realising that they are in a hole, just stopped digging.

    1. Matt Dalby

      Marine records could well mean the types of micro fossils preserved in sediment on the sea bed or their chemical composition as well as pebbles/stones in the sediment that could only be there if they were carried far from land by icebergs. Therefore although there are no marine records that were recorded in the 1300’s it’s possible to reconstruct a fairly accurate measure of sea temperatures without relying purely on computer models.
      I sometimes find it hard to keep up with all the contortions that AGW proponents are performing to try and keep the theory alive, e.g. warming leads to cooling and more snow, climate change will lead to increased flooding and more droughts etc. Various climate modellers, led by Michael Mann and his followers/imitators have for decades been trying to prove that the MWP and LIA didn’t exist, and now we have followers of the AGW line saying they did exist. AGW climate science gets itself in more and more of a mess with each passing month, not that the scientists or activists/politicians care as it hasn’t been about science/reality for decades, it’s about power, influence, money and any number of other darker motives.

  10. Andrew Stone

    As far as I know, there *not* being any such records is, and has been, a consistent problem for those trying to pin down North Atlantic temperature and current variations in the past, in the effort to build decent prediction models.

    Sediment corings and such are about the best indicators we have (again, as far as I know).

    So I agree with you regarding the “records”.
    I suppose it is possible that a solar event or some geological event could heat the North Atlantic for 20 years. More input from geologists on exactly what could have caused such an event would be interesting.

    1. Ray

      “What could have caused such an event?”

      Lunatic as it may sound, the Moon!

      https://www.ntnu.edu/employees/harald.yndestad

      https://www.climateclock.no

      Unfortunately, these genuinely are not easily accessible theories.
      They are “math heavy.”

      This Professor in Computational Sciences is predicting considerable, inevitable, world-wide cooling but not for a few more years. He will be proved right or wrong (or a nut!) in the long run, but I do not know how many of us will still be around!

  11. Max K

    There ARE records: so called biomarkers in drill cores from the seabed show seatemperatures from the far past. Since we have less ice in the Arctic now, it is now possible to drill more northern cores that will show that an icefree North Pole happened a lot in the past and has Nothombs to do with hysterical climate crises.

    In fact the mechanism described in this post has happened a lot in climate history, not only the recent little ice age but also all it’s cousins during the big ice ages.

    Rapid climate changes involving this mechanism are well known in scientific climate literature including the standard university textbook “Paleoclimatology” that Bradley himself wrote. So I fail to see what’s really new in this article.

    More about biomarkers and rapid climate change during ice ages involving AMOC changes : https://www.science.org/doi/10.1126/sciadv.aau6174

    1. Maxwell Klever (Agent 86)

      “Since we have less ice in the Arctic now …??? Really.

      More about biomarkers and rapid climate change during ice ages involving AMOC changes : https://www.science.org/doi/10.1126/sciadv.aau6174

      More IPCC/science.org clown world word salad psyops.

      Arctic Sea Ice Extent Second Highest in 18 Years at the end of 2021, Now Close to 13 million square kilometers, while the Hudson Bay Finally Froze in the Last 2 weeks
      By: Author Renato R. Colucci
      Posted on Published: 31/12/2021
      Categories Global weather
      https://www.severe-weather.eu/global-weather/arctic-sea-ice-second-highest-18-years-end-2021-rrc/

      20% Increase In Arctic Sea Ice Volume
      Posted on August 31, 2021 by Tony Heller
      https://realclimatescience.com/2021/08/20-increase-in-arctic-sea-ice-volume/

      So Max, I fail to see what’s really factual in your comment.

    2. Rod

      The paper is here:

      https://www.science.org/doi/10.1126/sciadv.abi8230

      and it contains references to all the proxy data.

  12. Ray

    Really factual?

    (1) Scientists are always studying natural cycles in climate, in regional contexts such as the Nordic Sea.

    (2) The general idea of variation in the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation is not new, as indeed Cap says. The late Professor Grey said, a long time ago, that he thought there might be a regular sixty-year cycle which made it look as if the world was warming for a while and then that it was cooling.

    (3) Many panicky people have such a poor idea of scale that they think that human activities can accidentally ‘force’ these cycles and trigger them.

    The particular article that Max references contains:

    “It is still unclear what triggered the Dansgaard-Oeschger variability…”

    Which illustrates my main point – They do not KNOW enough that anyone should be interested in it, except as academic speculation.

    “Proxy and modeling evidence hints…” They seem to be away with the fairies.

  13. rick weiland

    Sirs:
    For some reason I cannot get your daily e-mail as I did for the past several years.
    Please help
    Regards
    Rick Weiland

  14. Howard Huston

    are you still up and running? or has the weather just stopped.

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