The U.S. Scientist Who Predicted Coronavirus Could Kill 65 Million People–Three Months BEFORE the Outbreak in Wuhan, China

U.S. health experts predicted a strain of the coronavirus could kill tens of millions of people in a warning three months BEFORE the deadly outbreak in Wuhan, China.

Scientists at the Johns Hopkins Center for Health Security modeled a hypothetical pandemic on a computer as part of research last October — their simulation predicted the deaths of some 65 million people worldwide in just 18 months.  

According to latest reports coming out of China, the highly contagious disease has so far killed 41 people and infected around 1,300 others — but experts believe China is hiding the true figures–predicting the true number of those infected to be in the many thousands.

To their credit, China’s response has been swift, shutting down more than 14 cities around Wuhan–the central metropolis where the outbreak is originated:

Image result for chinese cities in lock down

However, you can look at China’s response in two ways: of course it’s reassuring to see the authorities trying everything in their power to get on top of the outbreak, but at the same time it’s also somewhat unnerving to see the level of desperation in the plan. The economic toll of putting tens of millions of people into lock-down is staggering. Do authorities know more about the deadliness of this strain than they’re currently letting on? Or is this response merely standard protocol–perhaps lessons learned following the SARS outbreak in the early 2000s?

And even despite such extreme measures, experts are divided over whether the steps will be enough to slow the spread of the virus. Billions of trips will be taken over the lunar new year holiday period, with many Chinese having already traveled before the measures were implemented.

FT reports that Ian Mackay, a virologist at Queensland University in Australia, said it was possible the travel restrictions would simply be a “Band-Aid” solution. “It has never been done before, there is no evidence this will do anything by shutting these people in. There is still the virus there,” he said.

No cases of the novel coronavirus dubbed 2019-nCoV have been confirmed in NSW, the state's health authority said on Saturday
Microscopic photo of China’s coronavirus.

Coronaviruses are infections of the respiratory tract that can lead to illnesses like pneumonia or the common cold. Dr Eric Toner, a senior researcher at Johns Hopkins, said he wasn’t shocked when news of the coronavirus outbreak in Wuhan in late December: “I have thought for a long time that the most likely virus that might cause a new pandemic would be a coronavirus,” he told Business Insider.

“We don’t yet know how contagious it is. We know that it is being spread person to person, but we don’t know to what extent.”

Dr Toner’s computer simulation back in October suggested that after six months, nearly every country in the world would have cases of coronavirus. And within 18 months, 65 million people would have died. 

The outbreak in Wuhan isn’t considered a pandemic yet, but the virus has been now been reported in 12 different nations — the U.S., France, Australia, Thailand, Japan, South Korea, Taiwan, Vietnam, Singapore, Hong Kong, Macau and Nepal, have all confirmed cases.

And there are MANY questions in desperate need of an answer:

Wuhan city recently developed a deadly pathogen research lab, to study ebola and SARS-like viruses — could the outbreak have originated here? U.S. bio-safety experts warned back in 2017 that a virus could indeed “escape” the facility.

China's highest-grade lab for studying viruses is located in Wuhan, the same city at the centre of the current coronavirus outbreak
China’s lab for studying deadly viruses is located near Huanan Seafood market, Wuhan — the location the coronavirus outbreak is thought to have originated. Currently, authorities are calling this a coincidence.

Furthermore, could the influx of Cosmic Rays –due to the historically low solar activity we’re currently receiving– have anything to do with the mutation of this particular strain?

Could CRs have an impact in the strain’s evolution moving forward?

Stay tuned for updates.

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8 Thoughts to “The U.S. Scientist Who Predicted Coronavirus Could Kill 65 Million People–Three Months BEFORE the Outbreak in Wuhan, China”

  1. sten bjorsell

    The Chinese measures to limit the contacts between those who have contracted the virus and those who have not have been discussed.
    The difference between those who catch the virus on an airplane (possibly the most dangerous place due to air circulation) and those who catch the virus through brief contact is likely staggering. The amount of virus transferred can either (over)load ones system or act like a warning enabling the immune system to start building natural immunity. The latter is called “hormesis”, our natural way to build resilience through limited exposure to toxins/disease.
    Hence the Chinese travel restrictions are likely to limit both spread and intensity of the spread of this virus, in my humble opinion.

  2. Villum West

    Interesting informations i can not get in the mainstream medias. I send your informations to all my friends and other who will listen to common sense. Thank you your best regards. Villum West

  3. Francis Sweeney

    Interesting stuff.

  4. Peter M.

    “Seasonal flu kills 291,000 to 646,000 people worldwide each year, according to a new estimate that’s higher than the previous one of 250,000 to 500,000 deaths a year.

    The new figures from the U.S. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention and other groups were published Dec. 13 in The Lancet medical journal.”

  5. William Davison

    The mortality rate of the those reported infected so far is 3%, question is what percentage of the population in pandemic are likely to become infected?
    Spanish flu infected 500 million people around the world, probably 50 million died 10%, out of world population of 2 Billion, 25% infected. Comparable figures for today would be 2 Billion infected and 200 million dead, but if the current 3% mortality rate is maintained then we looking at 60 million, which almost exactly the same as predicted here.

    What age groups are most affected?
    The Spanish flu pandemic mostly killed young adults and life expectancy in United States dropped by about 12 years in the first year of the pandemic.

  6. prioris

    People who are old or have weak immune systems are the ones that are vulnerable to coronavirus. Not much different than any other virus. Taking vaccines will add to the death or disability toll.

    The average Flu kills 36000 people and hospitalizes another 200,000 in the US. People who are vulnerable are old and have weak immune system.

    For septicemia

    No need for people to go into fear or do something dumb like take a vaccine. Natural remedies that can protect you are

    1) beta glucan (betaright brand is one of the better ones),

    2) oreganol p73

    3) colloidal silver

    4) baking soda

    5) Liposomal vitamin C

    I have all 5 in my medicine bag. Research what other natural remedies people are using. I use them to protect myself from flu and colds. No fear. Be prepared.

    1. prioris

      For septicemia … use liposomal C

  7. R Ripple

    Chinese officials are not doing everything they can to shut down these cities – people are catching the virus, filling themselves up with drugs and fleeing to other countries. France is an example, a Chinese woman was arrested as she was bragging on social media how she evaded medical checks at the airport when she had the virus. She was found in a restaurant full of people.

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