Extreme Weather GSM 

The “Great Arctic Outbreak of February 1899” — Polar Vortex and Low Solar Activity to Blame

The “Great Arctic Outbreak of February 1899” as it became known, is one of the most widespread North American cold snaps in recorded history. It was described in a 1988 academic article as “a benchmark with which to compare similar events.”

The amount of magnetic flux that rises up to the Sun’s surface varies within a solar cycle. Near the minimum of the cycle it is rare to see sunspots on the Sun, and the spots that do appear are very small and short-lived. During the maximum there are many sunspots visible.

The strength of each cycle overall also varies.

The “Great Arctic Outbreak of February 1899” occurred during the solar minimum between ‘weak’ solar cycles 13 and 14 — these were the previous comparably weak cycles to the one we’ve just experienced, cycle 24.


Research has linked low solar activity with colder temperatures in the lower latitudes (Mikhaël Schwander, et al, 2017) and the sun is currently going through it’s deepest solar minimum in well-over 100 years.

The lowest-ever recorded temps in many cities were set during the Great Arctic Outbreak of February 1899, but 2019 has started to oust many of these. I’ve listed a few below:

  • Feb 8, 2019: Prince Albert broke a -42.8C record that was set in 1899, with a new record of -44.8.
  • Feb 8, 2019: -43C tied Williston’s, ND all time record low set in 1899.
  • Feb 06, 2019: In Lansing, Michigan the highest the temp got was 3 degrees, beating the record of 5 degrees from 1899.
  • Jan 31, 2019: Green Bay tied it’s low of -26C from 1899.
  • Jan, 2019: Milwaukee smashed a daily record that had stood since 1899 by six degrees, with a low of minus -21.


There are many more but you get the picture.

My point is climate is cyclic, never linear.

In addition, the recent wild swings in temperatures, from record cold back to warmth (that the AGW camp have pinned as proof of some abnormal CO2-induced flip-flopping), were the norm even back in 1899 — barely a week after the worst of the cold and snow, temperatures rose into the 70s.

Looking again at the solar cycles graph above, it’s clear we’ve returned to solar activity similar to that of the late 1800s/early 1900s, and the evidence of a return to the climate of that same period is ever-mounting.

The sun was, is and always-will-be the cause of climate change.

And it’s shutting down (relatively).

Prepare for the cold times.

WHAT THE SCIENCE SUGGESTS IS HAPPENING

Research shows blocking persistence increases when solar activity is low, causing weather patterns to become locked in place at high and intermediate latitudes for prolonged periods of time.

During a Solar Minimum, the jet stream loses energy. Its usual strong ‘Zonal’ flow (a west–east direction) reverts to more of a weak and wavy ‘Meridional’ flow (a north-south direction) — this is exaggerated further during a Grand Solar Minimum, like the one we’re entering now, and explains why regions become unseasonably hot or cold and others unusually dry or rainy, with the extremes lasting for an extended period of time.


Mikhaël Schwander, et al, 2017 — “The 247-year-long analysis of the 11-year solar cycle impact on late winter European weather patterns suggests a reduction in the occurrence of westerly flow types linked to a reduced mean zonal flow under low solar activity. Based on this observational evidence, we estimate the probability to have cold conditions in winter over Europe to be higher under low solar activity than under high activity.”

We’ve known the mechanisms for decades, as this article from 1975’s Science Mag would indicate, but as they contradict the modern political Global Warming agenda they’re conveniently forgotten:


TEXAS ‘OUT-SNOWING’ PARTS OF ALASKA? — ALL PREDICTED DURING A GRAND SOLAR MINIMUM

Back in the fall of 2018, Texas was reported to be ‘out-snowing’ Fairbanks, Alaska.

The story was twisted by the mainstream and used as yet more evidence of catastrophic AGW, however the phenomenon is exactly the pattern we’d expect to see during a Grand Solar Minimum.

Looking at NASA’s own Maunder Minimum Temperature Reconstruction Maps, some regions actually warm during periods of global cooling — the Arctic, North Atlantic and Alaska being the main ones (although ‘warm’ to the Arctic, for example, is still well-below freezing — there’s no additional melt):

Temp change between 1780 (a year of normal solar activity) and 1680 (a year within the depths of the Maunder Minimum) — NASA


And while Alaska may have had a slow start to winter, the Northern Hemisphere as a whole certainly didn’t. Total Snow Mass for the NH, excluding the mountains, is comfortably sitting well-above the 30 year average:

Total Snow Mass for NH.


Click here for more on the Grand Solar Minimum and how an influx of Cosmic Rays contributes to global cooling.

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Grand Solar Minimum + Pole Shift

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2 Thoughts to “The “Great Arctic Outbreak of February 1899” — Polar Vortex and Low Solar Activity to Blame”

  1. “this article from 1975’s Science Mag”

    Science Mag? Never heard of it. The real source is at
    https://www.sciencenews.org/sites/default/files/8983

    1. Donald Trump Junior

      Science news used to be science mag in the70’s …duh

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