Extreme Weather GSM Volcanic & Seismic Activity 

St. Petersburg’s “Deep Freeze” Breaks 1893 Record; Sweden Busts All-Time December Low (-46.8F); Bethel, Alaska Suffered Its Coldest November in 82 Years; + Grímsvötn Volcano Alert

Professor Emeritus Ian Plimer: “The hypothesis that human activity can create global warming is extraordinary because it is contrary to validated knowledge from solar physics, astronomy, history, archeology and geology.

St. Petersburg’s “Deep Freeze” Breaks 1893 Record

Exceptionally cold weather has gripped the Russian city of St. Petersburg this week.

The chill has been so severe that all-time records have been tumbling: Monday morning’s low of almost -21C (-5.8F) broke a daily benchmark set some 128 years ago, way back in 1893, according to meteorologist Mikhail Leus from the Fobos weather center.

“Today, St. Petersburg set a new daily cold weather record. Temperatures in the Northern Capital fell to minus 20.9 degrees, which is 0.4 degrees lower than on the same day back in 1893,” Leus wrote in a Facebook post.

But I think ‘Oly’ on Twitter sums it up best:

Leus added that St. Petersburg, a port city located on the Baltic sea, had broken cold weather records just twice in the 21st century (before Monday): on July 14, 2015, and on January 3, 2002.

Looking ahead, Western Russia’s historic cold is forecast to linger, too.

This week, temperatures will range from -16 to -18C (3.2 to -0.4F) in St. Petersburg, and between -15 and -20C (5 to -4F) in the wider Leningrad area: “… the average daily temperature will be 16 to 17 degrees (C) lower than normal,” Leus noted.

Snow has also buffeted this region.

As reported by hmn.ru, an already snowy St. Petersburg received further dumpings of global warming goodness over the weekend, and by Monday, the snow depth had grown to a staggering 61cm (2ft) in the north of the city.

Shifting attention to Eastern Russia, record-breaking cold is also persisting here.

“Abnormally cold weather is in Yakutia,” is how another hmn.ru article puts it.

Temperatures in the cities of Oymyakon and Delyankir, for example, have continued to hold below -50C (-58F), which is unusually cold, even for them — a preliminary -56.6C (-69.9F) was set in Delyankir yesterday:

The most recent record-breaker, however, occurred at “Jubilee” (a Google mis-translation?) where on Sunday, December 5, “the cold increased to -48.7C (-55.7F),” continues the hmn.ru report — a reading that busted the locale’s previous record (from 1984) of -48.5C (-55.3F).

In the coming days, lows of -60C (-76F) and beyond are on the cards — record-smashing for the time of year.

Sweden Breaks All-Time December Low (-46.8F)

Sweden just set a new all-time low for December — and, according to thelocal.se, it will turn even colder as the month progresses.

Scandinavia has been holding exceptionally cold in recent weeks — as I reported last month, the small tourist town of Nattavaara –327m (1,073ft) above sea level– registered -37.4C (-35.3F) on Nov 29 — this reading was not only a record for the station, or for Sweden, but it was Scandinavia’s coldest November temperature since 1980.

Since then, the mercury across Scandia has continued to fall, and on Monday, December 5, temperatures below the freezing mark were registered across ALL of Sweden.

The remote settlement of Naimakka took the top spot, though: “At noon it was down to -42.7C (-44.9F),” said Emma Härenstam, a meteorologist at Sweden’s national weather agency (SMHI). But as the day went on, temperatures continued down and bottomed-out at an astonishing -43.8C (-46.8F) — this was Naimakka’s coldest December temperature in recorded history, and also Sweden’s lowest reading so early in the season since 1945 (solar minimum of cycle 17). It was also the country’s lowest December temp since 1986 (solar minimum of cycle 21).

SMHI predicts that temperatures will remain low during the week, a forecast backed up by the latest GFS run:

GFS 2m Temperature Anomalies Dec 7 to Dec 9 (C) [tropicaltidbits.com]

Bethel, Alaska Suffered Its Coldest November in 82 Years

November was brutally cold across much of Alaska, including in Bethel.

In fact, the Southwest Alaska hub suffered its coldest November in more than 80 years, and its second coldest in weather books dating back more than a century: With an average temperature of just -17.4C (0.7F), to find a colder Nov in Bethel, “you have to go all the way back to 1939,” said Rick Thoman, a climate specialist at the University of Alaska Fairbanks, when an average of -17.7C (0.1F) was logged:

The deep cold is causing problems around town, reports alaskapublic.org. It’s the kind of cold that feels like it slaps you across the face. It freezes barges in their tracks. It makes pipes burst open.

“My pipes are all in my garage,” said Bethel resident Kyle Roberson; “I went into the office for like two hours. And I left the garage door open, and everything froze up,” he said.

For those with pipes prone to freezing, be warned said Thoman: This winter could pan out to be a cold one, in part because of historically early sea ice building in the Arctic, particularly in the Bering Sea, “which is a thumb on the scale to tell us to tilt us to colder winters,” said Thoman, adding, “the Climate Prediction Center, operated by the NWS, is forecasting increased chances for significantly below normal temperatures for this upcoming winter.”

Grímsvötn Volcano Alert

Iceland has raised its eruption alert level to “orange” its most active volcano, Grímsvötn, after several recent earthquakes —

Authorities said on Monday that a magnitude 3.6 quake was registered; however, although seismic activity had increased, officials say they have not yet detected any tremors that have caused a surge in underground magma.

“This seismic activity may be due to the decrease in pressure above the volcano, as the floodwaters leave the Grimsvötn subglacial lake,” said the Icelandic Meteorological Office (IMO).

A “red” warning would mean that an eruption is imminent, which the IMO is not ruling out for the coming weeks/months.

Of today’s reawakening volcanoes (linked to our decent into the next Grand Solar Minimum), those located in Iceland are perhaps the most concerning. It is this highly-volcanic region that will likely be home to the next “big one” (a repeat of the 536 AD eruption that took out the Roman Republic?) — the one that will plunge Earth into its next volcanic winter.

Icelandic scientists have been carefully monitoring Grímsvötn since its 20km (66,000 ft) Plinian eruption in 2011:

But to put that, and other, recent eruptions into context –including Pinatubo’s 1991 blow-off which dropped global temps by 0.6C– the below graphic reveals what planet Earth is capable of:

Volcanic Uptick Correlates With Changes In The Sun

Volcanic eruptions are one of the key forcings driving Earth into its next bout of global cooling.

Volcanic ash (particulates) fired above 10km –and so into the stratosphere–– shade sunlight and reduce terrestrial temperatures. The smaller particulates from an eruption can linger in the upper atmosphere for years, or even decades+ at a time.

Today’s worldwide volcanic (and seismic) uptick is thought to be tied to low solar activity, coronal holes, a waning magnetosphere, and the influx of Cosmic Rays penetrating silica-rich magma.

The COLD TIMES are returning, the mid-latitudes are REFREEZING, in line with the great conjunction, historically low solar activitycloud-nucleating Cosmic Rays, and a meridional jet stream flow (among other forcings).

Both NOAA and NASA appear to agree, if you read between the lines, with NOAA saying we’re entering a ‘full-blown’ Grand Solar Minimum in the late-2020s, and NASA seeing this upcoming solar cycle (25) as “the weakest of the past 200 years”, with the agency correlating previous solar shutdowns to prolonged periods of global cooling here.

Furthermore, we can’t ignore the slew of new scientific papers stating the immense impact The Beaufort Gyre could have on the Gulf Stream, and therefore the climate overall.

Prepare accordingly— learn the facts, relocate if need be, and grow your own.

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Grand Solar Minimum + Pole Shift

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16 Thoughts to “St. Petersburg’s “Deep Freeze” Breaks 1893 Record; Sweden Busts All-Time December Low (-46.8F); Bethel, Alaska Suffered Its Coldest November in 82 Years; + Grímsvötn Volcano Alert”

  1. Fredrik V

    Oups! Better check the Russian geography better:

    “This week, temperatures will range from -16 to -18C (3.2 to -0.4F) in St. Petersburg, and between -15 and -20C (5 to -4F) in and around Leningrad:”

    S:t Petersburg and Leningrad = same city 😉

    1. Cap Allon

      Learned that in school. Silly me. Corrected. Thank you.
      (I think a mistranslation from the hmn.ru article didn’t help)

      1. Martin

        Oops! This 2nd part of Leningrad would be about the minimal temps of ‘Leningradskaya Oblast’ like the suburbs of the district, surrounding region of St. Petersburg.
        Yeap! Russian language is not easy.
        As a geographer I believed in this AGW ‘hoax’. So I researched, studied and I’ve been questioning it for about 10 years, I still think that if a type of LIA will occur, it would start first in the higher areas or cities or the coldest portions of the Earth.
        I’ve read a lot about Habibullo Abdussamatov about solar cycles, LIA like: https://ria.ru/20140919/1024726102.html

    1. Cap Allon

      Yes, saw it on Saturday.
      Looked big, at least initially, but there were some queries as to whether a plume even occurred at all–so I thought it best not to report on it.

      1. Anonymous

        Best to be shrewd. I also found a couple of outlets that did not report a height of the plume, only the one I linked and NBC had figures and those were 10k apart.

        Take care Cap!

  2. Don Ready

    Thanks for your great work, Cap. The volcano chart is especially chilling, thinking of blowoffs 150 times greater than Mt. St. Helens. You and many others talk about an uptick, but the global volcanism program shows no uptick?

  3. Rikki

    Climbed Mount Rinjani many years ago. The view of the caldera lake was amazing. Rinjani had a smaller eruption few years back. But one of the biggest eruption was the one at Toba, Sumatera around 80,000 years ago. Modern humans will be extinct if this happens today since they can’t even handle a harmless virus 🙄

    1. Greg in NZ

      Swam in Lake Toba many moons ago (1986) after returning from a surf mission to Nias Island; also swam in Lake Maninjau near Bukittinggi, in Sumatra as well: look Ma, I’m swimming in a caldera!

      Bali has a YUGE caldera lake overlooked by Mt Batur – lovely to jump into after a pre-dawn ascent of the live volcano, with the added bonus of a natural hot spring beside the lake: it was rustic and undeveloped in the ’80s yet looks expensively ‘swish’ in recent photos I’ve seen (not that I’ll be travelling there anymore due to Apartheid Airways).

      Would see Mt Rinjani on Lombok Island from various surf breaks around the islands – brooding, misty, a sleeping giant – to think so much wondrous, lush, magisterial beauty could be formed by earthquakes and volcanoes and lava and Earth’s never-ceasing restlessness.

  4. Crispin Pemberton-Pigott

    It was -21 C in Val Quentin, Alberta a couple of days ago, with a wind chill of -30 C. I think we will be able to drive in the lake soon.

    1. Michael Peinsipp

      ‘In’ or ON the lake?!!!?
      I prefer driving ON the lake cuz I ain’t a fish ya know!!
      Stay warm!!!

    By Rachel Morison On 11/28/2021

    LONDON (Bloomberg) –Energy prices in Europe are repeatedly breaking records even before winter really kicks in, and one of the most damaging cost crunches in history is about to get worse as the temperature starts to drop.
    A super price spike in the UK last month forced some industrial companies to cut production and seek state aid, a harbinger for what could play out widely in Europe just as it contends with a resurgence of the coronavirus. For governments, it could mean tension with neighboring countries by moving to protect supplies. For households, it could mean being asked to use less energy or even plan for rolling blackouts.


    I have two engineering degrees and, to my knowledge, the best (earliest and most accurate) predictive track record on Climate and Energy.

    In 2002 and again in 2013 I predicted this global cooling and green-energy-caused crisis would happen in Europe circa 2020, and it is happening this winter, notably in the UK and Germany.

    It’s not satisfying to make correct predictions when they are ignored and the worst outcomes still happen. Schlachthof 6.

    Cold is locked in for Jan-Feb 2022 – the Nino34 area SST is a good predictor of global average temperature ~4 months in the future.
    Much more local cold happens when the polar vortices dip toward the equator, as often happens during periods of low solar activity – like Texas last year.

    Nino34 Index below -0.5 indicates a la Nina condition.

    Note the cold blue across the Pacific equator. That is the region of the Nino34 area.

    Recent papers:



    A Climate, Energy and Covid Primer for Politicians and Media, March 21, 2021, Update 1e May 8, 2021

    SCIENTIFIC COMPETENCE – THE ABILITY TO CORRECTLY PREDICT, October 20, 2021, Update November 8, 2021


    Told you so in 2002 and more specifically in 2013 – 8+ years ago.

    AN OPEN LETTER TO BARONESS VERMA (UK Undersecretary for Energy…), OCTOBER 31, 2013
    By Allan MacRae, B.A.Sc.(Eng.), M.Eng.
    So here is my real concern:
    IF the Sun does indeed drive temperature, as I suspect, Baroness Verma, then you and your colleagues on both sides of the House may have brewed the perfect storm.
    You are claiming that global cooling will NOT happen, AND you have crippled your energy systems with excessive reliance on ineffective grid-connected “green energy” schemes.
    I suggest that global cooling probably WILL happen within the next decade or sooner, and Britain will get colder.
    I also suggest that the IPCC and the Met Office have NO track record of successful prediction (or “projection”) of global temperature and thus have no scientific credibility.
    I suggest that Winter deaths will increase in the UK as cooling progresses.
    I suggest that Excess Winter Mortality, the British rate of which is about double the rate in the Scandinavian countries, should provide an estimate of this unfolding tragedy.

    For the record: We also predicted this outcome in more general terms, way back in 2002.

    Well, there is the perfect Trifecta – my work here is done:

    In 2002 co-authors Dr Sallie Baliunas, Astrophysicist, Harvard-Smithsonian, Dr Tim Patterson, Paleoclimatologist, Carleton, Ottawa and Allan MacRae wrote:

    1. “Climate science does not support the theory of catastrophic human-made global warming – the alleged warming crisis does not exist.”

    2. “The ultimate agenda of pro-Kyoto advocates is to eliminate fossil fuels, but this would result in a catastrophic shortfall in global energy supply – the wasteful, inefficient energy solutions proposed by Kyoto advocates simply cannot replace fossil fuels.”

    Allan MacRae published on September 1, 2002, based on a conversation with Dr. Tim Patterson:

    3. “If [as we believe] solar activity is the main driver of surface temperature rather than CO2, we should begin the next cooling period by 2020 to 2030.”

    Allan MacRae modified his global cooling prediction in 2013, or earlier:
    3a. “I suggest global cooling starts by 2020 or sooner. Bundle up.”

    See electroverse.net for extreme-cold events and crop losses all over our planet.
    This global cooling is primarily solar-induced, driven by the end of very-weak Solar Cycle 24 (SC24) and the beginning of very-weak SC25, as I published in 2002 – one year before Theodor Landscheidt’s famous 2003 global cooling prediction.

    Best wishes to all, Allan MacRae

  6. Chris Norman

    Love the quotes Cap.

  7. Mr Reynard

    We have to stop unconditionally all Carbon emissions, to stop this Climate Catastrophe ? Or all life on this planet will stop existing by 2023 ??

    1. Martin

      Mr Reynard, with all respect, have you never studied the human respiratory system?
      To receive the oxygen (O2) present in the atmosphere you’ll eliminate carbon dioxide (CO2), ok!? It’s simple.
      So you want to stop or eliminate a gas that you (your body) emits for living, it’s an unnecessary or futile thing, don’t you think?
      The human body is not stupid, our body is very smart, but many people have alienated themselves because of (AGW) radical lies.

  8. Roman

    Юбилейной or Lubileynoy, this is just a name of a place/town.

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