Solar Cycle 25 is waking up while Earth’s magnetic field is waning: this spells bad news for our electrical grid.
On May 22, sunspot AR2824 unleashed a sequence of solar flares unlike anything we’ve seen in years, writes Dr Tony Phillips of spaceweather.com, who labelled the event a “solar flare frenzy.”
In only 24 hours, NASA’s Solar Dynamics Observatory recorded 10 C-flares and 2 M-flares:
The rapidfire explosions hurled multiple overlapping Coronal Mass Ejections (CMEs) into space.
According to NOAA models, a combined CME will hit Earth’s magnetic field during the late hours of May 25, potentially sparking G2-class geomagnetic storms.
However, given Earth’s ever-waning magnetic field the effects will likely be even stronger, and could potentially lead to minor/moderate electrical disturbances (more on that below).
During the May 22 “frenzy,” the Sun emitted a shortwave radio burst.
The burst was so loud that “it drowned out lightning static from a severe local thunderstorm,” reports Thomas Ashcraft, who recorded the noisy signal using a radio telescope in rural New Mexico.
Below is a sample of the sounds emerging from Ashcraft’s loudspeaker:
The radio burst coincided with an M1.4-class solar flare at 21:30 UT.
“This was a very hot and dynamic flare for sure,” says Ashcraft.
“I was recording audio at 22 MHz and 21 MHz, and my radio spectrograph was operating from 30 MHz down to 15 MHz. Strong solar radio emissions were present at all frequencies.”
This event was so intense, radio operators in the Arctic heard it at midnight.
Rob Stammes chart-recorded the outburst from the Polarlightcenter in Lofoten, Norway:
“Normally, solar radio bursts can only be received during daylight hours,” says Stammes.
“This one was different. The sun was just below the horizon at local midnight when the outburst occurred, and my instruments picked it up.”
Astronomers classify solar radio bursts into 5 types.
Using his radio spectrograph, Ashcraft was able to determine which ones were present on May 22: “It was a mixture of Type II and Type V,” he says — these are caused, respectively, by shock waves and electron beams moving through the sun’s atmosphere in the aftermath of strong flares.
When the Sun is flaring almost non-stop, it’s easy to catch a sunspot in mid-eruption.
Jozef Cukas photographed AR2824 from his backyard observatory in Frauenfeld, Switzerland:
Solar Cycle 25 is waking up…
…and while it’s forecast to be another historically weak cycle, similar to that of SC24, its ramp-up occurring alongside the depletion of Earth’s magnetosphere is of great cause for concern.
Last week, our planet’s magnetic field failed to handle two minor perturbations:
In the year 2000, we knew the magnetic field had lost 10 percent of its strength since the 1800s.
Another 5 percent was lost by 2010.
Further accelerations occurred in recent years, 2015 and 2017–though we laymen were not privy to any additional loss data. But given the last solid data point we have –that of 2010– our magnetic field should have handled these past two events far better — the field is obviously far weaker than we’ve all realized.
What happens when that X-class solar flare is launched in our direction?–An event which is a matter of “when” not “if.” Well, the grid will fail, instantly. This means a return to growing your own food, and relying on wood-burning stoves and kerosene lamps for the prepared few, while it’s fighting on the streets and government rationing for the purblind masses.
My advice is to learn the off-grid skills required to survive and thrive now, while the pressure is somewhat off.
The threat of a civilization-resetting X-flare only increases as Solar Cycle 25 continues its intensification, to its solar maximum–expected around 2024-25.
There is a non-negligible chance –I put it as high as 25-30 percent– that we have only a few years left to prep.
And do not underestimate the size of the task at hand.
We live in a world where everything is provided for us. We are mollycoddled babies wholly dependent on the state’s teat, and have allowed ourselves to be stripped of any and all useful, real-world knowledge.
The natural world is an inhospitable place — but many have forgotten this.
Growing food is not a case of throwing seeds in the ground.
Clean drinking water is not necessarily easy to come by.
Off-grid power is not the plugging in of a few solar panels and you’re good to go.
Learning the essential skills required to survive the aftermath of an Earth-directed X-flare takes time.
Regaining all that useful, real-world knowledge the modern system has been so keen to strip from you is a big ask. But acquiring those skills now before we’re sent back to the Stone Age, before the X-flare forces your hand, will see you in good stead. And while you’re at it, brace for the Grand Solar Minimum that will descend soon after, during Solar Cycles 26/27.
Fun times ahead.
The COLD TIMES are returning, the mid-latitudes are REFREEZING, in line with the great conjunction, historically low solar activity, cloud-nucleating Cosmic Rays, and a meridional jet stream flow (among other forcings).
Both NOAA and NASA appear to agree, if you read between the lines, with NOAA saying we’re entering a ‘full-blown’ Grand Solar Minimum in the late-2020s, and NASA seeing this upcoming solar cycle (25) as “the weakest of the past 200 years”, with the agency correlating previous solar shutdowns to prolonged periods of global cooling here.
Furthermore, we can’t ignore the slew of new scientific papers stating the immense impact The Beaufort Gyre could have on the Gulf Stream, and therefore the climate overall.
Prepare accordingly— learn the facts, relocate if need be, and grow your own.
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Grand Solar Minimum + Pole Shift