Extreme Weather GSM 

Mother’s Day was a Record-Breaker: Rare Cold and Snow Blasts America

April in the U.S. came out colder than normal (despite what NOAA say), which has extended the nation’s stark cooling trend observed over the past five years. And now, into the second week of May, the Arctic is still refusing to abate as it delivers record low temperatures and record mid-spring snow to many states.

A fresh round of unseasonable polar chills is plunging southward as I type.

Here’s your Monday evening, America:

GFS 2m Temp Anomalies for May 10 [tropicaltidbits.com].


These forecast temperature anomalies are staggering.

States such as Texas, Oklahoma, Colorado and Kansas are set to suffer departures some 20C below the seasonal norm, perhaps even more in exposed spots — but the entire CONUS (excluding Florida and eastern Cali) will be hit.

The cold is expected to prove persist, too, lingering through midweek from the Rockies and Plains to the South and East.

Many states should brace for rare May freezes, with unprecedented snowfall to boot:

GFS Total Snowfall (inches) May 10 – May 12 [tropicaltidbits.com].


And already, states such as Pennsylvania are reporting inches of mid-spring snow.

Flakes settled along the I-80 in central PA on Sunday, May 9: “impressive yet pretty ridiculous at the same time,” said one local driver.

“Nothing like snow for Mother’s Day,” said John Hickey on Twitter:


Across vast portions of North America, rare May snowfall is settling.

Confirmed reports of are coming in from states and provinces such as Ohio, Montana, Alberta, Ontario, and even New York.

Below was the scene in Northeast Ohio Sunday afternoon:


The MSM is blaming this rare phenomenon on blocking in Greenland, which, although true, isn’t the full story.

CBS News writes:

“You may have noticed that cool temperatures have been slow to lessen their grip this spring. That’s because there is an atmospheric condition that meteorologists call a blocking pattern near Greenland. This is when a ridge of high pressure — you can think of it as a mountain of warm air in the atmosphere — gets stuck over the Polar regions of eastern Canada and the North Atlantic. The result is cold pockets of air that would normally be way up north get pushed out and displaced south across the northern U.S. This stubborn pattern has been around since the beginning of April. In fact, we can trace this pattern all the way back into winter when Texas and the Central U.S. suffered with historic cold. In climate, these blocky patterns are sometimes tough to break down, especially when they are as robust as what we saw this past winter.”

This is a perfectly accurate summary, but CBS stops short of informing its readers of the cause.

Research shows “blocking persistence” increases when solar activity is low, and that this blocking can lead to weather patterns becoming locked in-place at high and intermediate latitudes for prolonged periods of time.

During a Solar Minimum –such as the one we’re still struggling to escape from now (of SC24)– the jet stream’s usual Zonal Flow (a west–east direction) reverts to more of a Meridional Flow (a north-south direction).

This pattern exaggerated further during a Grand Solar Minimum, and explains why regions become unseasonably hot or cold and others unusually dry or rainy for extended periods of time.

In one recent paper, Mikhaël Schwander, et al discuss the setup as it pertains to Europe:

“The zonal flow characteristic of westerly types is reduced under low solar activity as the continental flow for easterly and northerly types is enhanced. This is also confirmed by the higher blocking frequency over Scandinavia under low solar activity.”


The paper goes further:

“The 247-year-long analysis of the 11-year solar cycle impact on late winter European weather patterns suggests a reduction in the occurrence of westerly flow types linked to a reduced mean zonal flow under low solar activity. Based on this observational evidence, we estimate the probability to have cold conditions in winter over Europe to be higher under low solar activity than under high activity.”


The setup is the same for the U.S., you simply replace “Scandinavia” with “Greenland.”

Furthermore, this low solar activity / colder conditions theory is a robust one (unlike CO2 / warmth).

The Northeast was struck by a very similar snowy setup back in 1977 — that year fell during the very weak Solar Minimum of cycle 20.

On the evening of Sunday, May 8, 1977, a mass of unseasonably cold, Canadian air wrapped itself around a developing storm and produced a cold rain which ultimately changed over to heavy, wet snow — the heaviest to have ever fallen in May.

You can pinpoint the Solar Minimum of cycle 20 in the ‘Sunspot Number’ chart below.

Note that cycle 20 was indeed weak, but also that is hasn’t a patch on the cycle we’re exiting now (24) which more closely resembles those of the Centennial Minimum (SC12, SC13, & SC14)

Looking ahead, most solar forecasts see SC25 being just as weak as SC24, with SC26 (due to commence around 2031) potentially rivaling the cycles of the Dalton Minimum (SC5, SC6, & SC7), and even the Maunder Minimum before it (1645-1715) where the Sun was devoid of sunspots for years an even decades at a time.


And finally, winter storm watches were issued in Hawaii late last week.

According to the National Weather Service: “A Winter Storm Watch means there is potential for significant snow or ice accumulations that may impact the summits. Anyone planning travel to the summits should consider postponing their trip until improved weather returns.”

To repeat, that’s a winter storm watch, in Hawaii, in May:


The COLD TIMES are returning, the mid-latitudes are REFREEZING, in line with the great conjunction, historically low solar activitycloud-nucleating Cosmic Rays, and a meridional jet stream flow (among other forcings).

Both NOAA and NASA appear to agree, if you read between the lines, with NOAA saying we’re entering a ‘full-blown’ Grand Solar Minimum in the late-2020s, and NASA seeing this upcoming solar cycle (25) as “the weakest of the past 200 years”, with the agency correlating previous solar shutdowns to prolonged periods of global cooling here.

Furthermore, we can’t ignore the slew of new scientific papers stating the immense impact The Beaufort Gyre could have on the Gulf Stream, and therefore the climate overall.


Prepare accordingly— learn the facts, relocate if need be, and grow your own.

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Grand Solar Minimum + Pole Shift

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4 Thoughts to “Mother’s Day was a Record-Breaker: Rare Cold and Snow Blasts America”

  1. Thank you Cap for your good work..
    I predicted this natural solar-driven cooling 19 years ago, in 2002.

    My not-so-polite paper, latest Update – more extreme cold events.
    CLIMATE CHANGE, COVID-19, AND THE GREAT RESET
    A CLIMATE, ENERGY AND COVID PRIMER FOR POLITICIANS AND MEDIA
    By Allan M.R. MacRae, Published May 8, 2021 UPDATE 1e
    Download the WORD file
    https://thsresearch.files.wordpress.com/2021/05/climate-change-covid-19-and-the-great-reset-update-1e-readonly.docx

    1. See this post for links:
      https://wattsupwiththat.com/2021/05/10/the-performance-of-uk-weather-dependent-renewables-2002-2020/#comment-3243629

      Our 2002 predictions – #1 and 2 were easy – slam dunks. #3 was difficult – also correct.

      Anyone who supported grid-connected wind and solar generation was delusional, or on the take. It’s all a mandate-and-subsidy game that makes no sense at all.

      In 2002, co-authors Dr Sallie Baliunas, Astrophysicist, Harvard-Smithsonian, Dr Tim Patterson, Paleoclimatologist, Carleton U, Ottawa and Allan MacRae, P.Eng. (now retired), McGill, Queens, U of Alberta, published:

      1. “Climate science does not support the theory of catastrophic human-made global warming – the alleged warming crisis does not exist.”

      2. “The ultimate agenda of pro-Kyoto advocates is to eliminate fossil fuels, but this would result in a catastrophic shortfall in global energy supply – the wasteful, inefficient energy solutions proposed by Kyoto advocates simply cannot replace fossil fuels.”

      Allan MacRae published in the Calgary Herald on September 1, 2002, based on communication with Dr Tim Patterson:

      3. “If [as we believe] solar activity is the main driver of surface temperature rather than CO2, we should begin the next cooling period by 2020 to 2030.”

      MacRae updated his global cooling prediction in 2013, based on cold events that occurred starting circa 2008 near the end of Solar Cycle 23:

      3a. “I suggest global cooling starts by 2020 or sooner. Bundle up.”

  2. Catastrophic Global warming (CAGW) has always been a lie, a fraud. I first published that CAGW was a false crisis in 2002, but I knew that in 1985, based on paleoclimatology. For a while, we thought the warmists were just technically mistaken, but their thuggish Leninist tactics exposed in the Climategate emails and their vicious cancel culture soon made it obvious that they were deliberately lying.

    The warmists have been lying since the beginning, circa 1970. To end 2020 they have 48 scary climate failed predictions that have fully expired – the odds against that are 1 in ~281 trillion – no rational person or group could be this wrong, this obtuse, for this long – they know they are lying – they’ve known all along.

    Thoughts from 2015:

    https://wattsupwiththat.com/2015/11/23/weekly-climate-and-energy-news-roundup-206/#comment-1651447

    This is worth reading:

    Richard Lindzen, Will Happer and Patrick Moore:

    http://icecap.us/index.php/go/joes-blog/prominent_scientists_declare_climate_claims_ahead_of_un_summit_irrational_b/

    MIT Climate Scientist Dr. Richard Lindzen: ‘Demonization of CO2 is irrational at best and even modest warming is mostly beneficial.’ – ‘When someone says this is the warmest temperature on record. What are they talking about? It’s just nonsense. This is a very tiny change period.’

    Princeton Physicist Dr. Will Happer: ‘Policies to slow CO2 emissions are really based on nonsense. We are being led down a false path. To call carbon dioxide a pollutant is really Orwellian. You are calling something a pollutant that we all produce. Where does that lead us eventually?’

    Greenpeace Co-Founder Dr. Patrick Moore: ‘We are dealing with pure political propaganda that has nothing to do with science.’

  3. Samuel Baugh

    Can you do some research into the potential effects to occur in the Andes Mountains from the equator south? I am living in Quito, Ecuador and we are witnessing snow accumalation on the peaks of the various mountains, non-perpetual’ snow lined volcanos. Any predicitions as to what will be occuring in the Amazon rain forests?

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