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Majority Of U.S. States Forecast Snow By Mid-November, + The Sun Releases Its First Earth-Facing X-Flare In Years

Majority Of U.S. States Forecast Snow By Mid-November

A meridional jet stream flow –driven by the historically low solar activity our planet has been receiving– is set to plunge frigid Polar cold into the majority of North America over the next two weeks–into all-but six U.S. states.

According to the latest GFS run (shown below), winter is arriving historically early for many parts of the CONUS, with states like Texas, Arkansas and even North Carolina expecting unprecedented early-season flurries by November 10:

GFS Total Snowfall (inches) Oct 29 – Nov 14 [tropicaltidbits.com].


Focusing in on the Midwest, truly jaw-dropping totals are set to batter the states of Wisconsin, Illinois, Missouri, Kansas, Nebraska and South Dakota (among others):

GFS Total Snowfall (inches) Oct 29 – Nov 14 [tropicaltidbits.com].


While out west, additional dumps will also increase the already record-breaking accumulations seen over the mountains and ski resorts in recent days:

GFS Total Snowfall (inches) Oct 29 – Nov 14 [tropicaltidbits.com].


The propagandizing MSM and spineless pop-scientists alike will attempt to blame this influx of early-season polar cold on a ‘Warming Arctic’ and the resulting ‘Polar Vortex’. This favorite is always rolled out to explain-away record setting freezes–as if no other forcing is capable of causing Arctic outbreaks anymore; however, the theory is deeply flawed.

For starters, if “Polar Amplification” –the theory’s official name– is indeed a thing, then why isn’t the same phenomenon also occurring at the South Pole–a region which has just suffered its coldest 6-month period in recorded history but where bouts of severe polar cold have still invaded southern hemisphere land masses, such as South America, South Africa, and Australia?

And secondly, the Arctic has actually held anomalously cool this summer, and as a result, sea ice has enjoyed its best year since 2014: “We had a reprieve this year—a cool summer with less ice melt,” said Mark Serreze, director of the NSIDC. So, the question is: if the Arctic has been holding unusual cold, then why is this year’s “Polar Vortex” looking so severe, and early?

These are square pegs that the AGW Party can’t logically round and so they don’t even bother, relying instead on the compliant masses inability to think critically and/or question the authoritative explanation laid out before them.

Once again, and for the record, a weak and wavy ‘meridional‘ jet stream flow is responsible for the climatic extremes planet earth has been witnessing of late–and this can account for spells of both heat and cold, of drought and flooding.

Historically low solar activity –the weakest in the past 100+ years– has meant less energy is entering the jets, which in turn is increasingly reverting their usual tight ZONAL flow to a wavy MERIDIONAL one. This is not new science by the way, this mechanism has been understood and accepted for many decades, but as it jars with today’s all-powerful Anthropogenic Global Warming narrative it has been dismissed, swept under the rug…

Article from 1975, Science Mag.


The Sun Releases Its First Earth-Facing X-Flare In Years

While the sun’s historically low output is on course to persist through Solar Cycle 25 –and beyond– the ramp-up to solar maxima can still be a highly active time.

On Thursday, October 28 the sun fired-off its first X-Flare in years. The global eruption began at 1535 UT when sunspot AR2887 unleashed an X1-class solar flare — the blast created a massive tsunami of plasma that rippled across the entire solar disk:


The plasma wave was about 100,000 km tall and moved through the sun’s atmosphere faster than 700 km/s (1.6 million mph), explains Dr. Tony Phillips over at spaceweather.com, and such waves often herald the launch of a coronal mass ejection (CME).

And yesterday’s eruption didn’t disappoint: SOHO coronagraphs recorded a powerful CME racing away from the sun faster than 1260 km/s (2.8 million mph):


The movie is full of “snow”–speckles caused by solar protons striking the coronagraph’s CCD camera. These particles were accelerated toward the spacecraft, and Earth, by shock waves in the leading edge of the CME — that’s right, this outburst is Earth-bound, with an ETA of Saturday, October 30.

The SWPC has the CME impacting Earth at around 1700 UT on Oct 30 [watch the animation HERE].


According to Dr. Phillips, a strong G3-class geomagnetic storm is possible upon impact. Such storms can spark naked-eye auroras as far south as Illinois and Oregon (typically 50° geomagnetic latitude) and photographic auroras at even lower latitudes. Lesser G1 and G2-class storms could persist through Halloween as Earth passes through the CME’s wake.

Moreover, Saturday’s main event is expected to be Earth’s first real test in decades–likely since the X4.5 that darkened Quebec back in 1989. Given our planet’s ever-waning magnetic field (due to its migrating magnetic poles, among other forcings) outbursts from the sun are having a greater and greater impact here on the ground–far greater than was seen back in 1989. Field strength is the number one cause for concern for our modern tech-driven civilization, it is our protection against cosmic radiation — a big enough plasma discharge, or a weak enough shield, would lead to a total failure of the grid, globally.

Earth’s magnetic field is weaker than we’ve all realized:

In the year 2000 we knew the field had lost 10 percent of its strength since the 1800s.

Another 5 percent was lost by 2010.

Further accelerations occurred in recent years, 2015 and 2017, but we laymen were not privy to any additional loss data–with guesses on why that might be quickly sending you down a conspiracy rabbit hole.


As touched on above, the sun’s ramp-up into Solar Cycle 25 occurring simultaneously with Earth’s drastically reducing magnetic field is the biggest threat we humans have faced in hundreds –potentially thousands– of years, given how completely and utterly technologically-dependent we’ve all become.

And while this weekend’s X-Flare –should it indeed hit Earth– isn’t powerful enough to deliver that ‘knock-out blow’ or ‘killshot’, it is still a crucial test–one that has every chance of leading to localized disruptions to the power/internet.

That destructive X-flare (that X9+) will come soon enough –it is a matter of when and not if— and when it does hit, you can kiss our modern civilization goodbye. We’ll be on our own, to fend for ourselves: no more grocery stores/food, no more pharmacies/medicine, and, God forbid, no more ‘how-tos’ on YouTube. This apocalyptic scenario has a 50 percent chance of playing out by the solar maximum of SC25 (currently expected in the year 2024), with localized grid failures all but guaranteed by then.

But get prepared, not scared — this event, like a GSM, is entirely survivable, even thrive-able: it spells freedom from a increasingly controlling Totalitarian regime.

The COLD TIMES are returning, the mid-latitudes are REFREEZING, in line with the great conjunction, historically low solar activitycloud-nucleating Cosmic Rays, and a meridional jet stream flow (among other forcings).

Both NOAA and NASA appear to agree, if you read between the lines, with NOAA saying we’re entering a ‘full-blown’ Grand Solar Minimum in the late-2020s, and NASA seeing this upcoming solar cycle (25) as “the weakest of the past 200 years”, with the agency correlating previous solar shutdowns to prolonged periods of global cooling here.

Furthermore, we can’t ignore the slew of new scientific papers stating the immense impact The Beaufort Gyre could have on the Gulf Stream, and therefore the climate overall.



This image has an empty alt attribute; its file name is Solar-Cycle-25-NASA-full.png
This image has an empty alt attribute; its file name is GSM-and-Sunspots-1024x398.png


Prepare accordingly— learn the facts, relocate if need be, and grow your own.



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Grand Solar Minimum + Pole Shift

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28 Thoughts to “Majority Of U.S. States Forecast Snow By Mid-November, + The Sun Releases Its First Earth-Facing X-Flare In Years”

  1. Graham Woodward

    Seemingly cycle 25 is seeing the sun burst back to life with daily sun spots and also a solar flare burst now. What happened then to the forecast that cycle 25 would be likely to be even quieter than cycle 24 with even more spotless days. And what does this now mean for the Eddy Minimum/little ice age period?

    1. prioris

      Nothing has changed. We are still on track for at least a Dalton Minimum. Most of the forecasts had sunspots same as cycle 24. In 3 years, we will know what max of this cycle is.

  2. Bernice Rinas

    Thanks, enjoy your work. B

  3. Kenneth Dwayne Bass

    I have taught geology since 1990, magnetic pole wandering is part of geologic history. This is confirmed by magnetic particles in lava flows and igneous rocks. I also taught this pole flip will happen soon (in a time frame). The result is devastating solar particles striking earth during the weakened state of the magnetosphere.

  4. Please send me the follow-up comments. by email

  5. DR KATHY ALEXANDER

    Time frame seems to correlate with the Govt’s rush to track, control & isolate the populus

  6. Paul James

    I hope you’re right about what’s coming soon because it will actually save us from what we’re doing to ourselves. If it happens too much later, there’ll be no one around with the skill sets needed to recover — leading to a long dark age rather than a short one.

    1. Michal Krawczynski

      Yeah, I keep saying the same, the sooner the better, because right now we’re going FUBAR, so many issues are piling up that a post micronova/magnetic reversal world still looks better than where we’re heading right now…

  7. Geof Hughes

    Seen this report on YouTube earlier, explaining how the solar flare will reach earth on Saturday 30th September. Interesting times. Stay safe all and thanks for the warnings Cap.

  8. Wizard

    Have any of you gave much thought to this:

    At least since the 1815 humanity is slowly but surely, continuously, descending on all scales worth measuring (morality, faith, trust, kindness etc)
    We are, now in 2021, staring in the face the worst evil humans have ever known, at least in written record
    We are facing extinction by the hands of other men
    Our salvation lies in moving away from them and back to “the land”
    We have no ill will against those who wish us ill or dead and probably won’t resort to violence on a massive scale
    Our salvation then comes as a massive Ice Age that will sweep over the planet, killing off most of the evil and the idiots that are their accomplices and give humanity a chance to
    Re-set, re-think, re-build

    I may be off my rocker here, but that, in a way, speaks to me that there is a God, that there is a Devil, and that while Devil may triumph briefly, it is never without the permission of his superior, and that in the end, God’s is the final.

    Somehow it makes perfect sense, that the feet of snow and ice should cover up the tracks and bodies of those who would do harm upon the good people of the Earth.

    1. Deb

      Wizard-
      (In answer to an earlier question.)
      I can’t tell you exactly when to expect a glacier to climb up your backside so that you can stay one step ahead of it. Nobody can. It doesn’t work that way.

      The climate is already changing. It is getting further and further out of whack every year. Crop losses are increasing every year. Growing seasons are getting shorter and shorter.

      In case you haven’t figured it out, it’s all about the food supply. Unless you are growing all your own food, you are at the mercy of the supply chain. And the supply chain is at the mercy of the political situation. So much for your desire to ignore the politics.

      If you think you can hang onto your good paying job til the last minute, you will simply be among the millions-nay billions- who didn’t make it. Even if you know all about growing and storing food, it takes years to build the soil, grow perennial plants, and build networks of people you can trust and who will trust you.

      People smarter than you are already flooding out of the cities and other at-risk areas. I moved here 5 years ago thinking it was my bug-out place. Now the people I escaped from are building all over in the countryside around me.
      My property values are going up. I’m hoping to be able to sell out at a profit and move further out, if there’s anything to buy. Crowded places make me nervous. It’s like sitting on a bullseye.

      You have been warned. What you do about it is your business.

      1. Wizard

        Deb-

        What you’re saying, basically, is GTFO from any major city and start doing things as if you know SHTF yesterday?

        I actually suspected this much, but left a shadow of a doubt that there might be an actual way to predict or at least to definitely foresee a year or more ahead of time before it hits. Guess I’ll adjust accordingly.

    2. Michal Krawczynski

      Nature i.e. gods of the cosmos, the gods of my ancestors, an expression of universal consciousness will always find a way to restore balance and these forces are surely more powerful than anything people could ever do. The decay started much earlier, already when first empires were formed for the benefit of small privileged groups.

  9. With Respect, I am unsure that I am communicating with you. My Comment/Question to you is purely inquisitive. What is going on at the South Pole regarding the Sea Ice Extent and Area. The red 2012 curve is falling way below the 40 year plus multi-decadal averages. Could this be due to under the surface Vulcanism?

  10. Sorry, Finger trouble. I meant 2021 in the previous comment

  11. Emergency... emergency...

    Florida and Aleutian Islands sinking = AGW rising sea levels planet physics.
    William Shatner – Interplanetary explorer and space traveller understands and easily ‘splains it all for the common man – panic now!:
    https://www.rt.com/shows/i-don-t-understand-with-william-shatner/538436-idu-sea-level-rise/
    https://soundcloud.com/rttv/sophieco-visionaries-no-ice-may-be-left-by-2100-glaciologist
    https://www.rd.com/list/islands-will-disappear-80-years/

    The sea level has risen by 6.5 inches since 1950 and 3 inches, which is nearly half, has occurred in just the last 20 years [on sinking volcanic islands and localized area like Florida]. This increase has caused on average a 233% increase in tidal flooding across the [Florida] United States. How can we slow down sea level rise? What coastal communities are in the biggest danger? And, is it too late?… because sinking volcanic islands = sea level rise from too much AGW, too many people and the Covid boogie bug [vaccines] not working fast enough to lighten the planet of course.

    Emergency! Emergency! Everybody to Get From Street!

  12. Ray

    “…way below…”

    It is within two standard deviations of the average. Six weeks ago it was as far above. It was similarly above average at this time in 2020. All is natural variability. ‘Average’ does not mean ‘What it is supposed to be’ !

    https://nsidc.org/data/seaice_index/

    Brief periods of divergence from the same time in previous years pales into insignificance compared to the regular expansion and contraction ; from almost gone in summer, at 2 million sq.km. to quite a lot in winter, at 18 million sq.km.

    Volcanism can only relate to ice resting at the bottom of permanent thick ice accumulations. Nothing whatsoever to do with sea-ice which is just a thin seasonal skin on top of ordinary sea-water.

    Because the edge of the sea-ice is far out into the windy, open ocean, it is vulnerable to occasional storms which ‘nibble’ the edge. As a matter of fact thick ice breaks up more easily under wind stress than thin ice which can flex more.

    On the subject of this X-class flare this actually the second ,not the first, of solar cycle 25. There was a bigger one on July 3. The one in July did not affect earth however.

    1. Ray

      The ‘World Magnetic Model’ five-yearly update was released in December 2020 with forecasts to 2025.

      https://www.ngdc.noaa.gov/geomag/WMM/image.shtml

      Unfortunately, although I assume it is honest and complete, it is hugely technical. It is clear that the distribution of the field is changing all the time. I am not sure that a simple summary, such as ‘1% weaker in the last five years, ‘ would be particularly meaningful.

  13. Prowler

    Geomagnetic data:
    https://www.intermagnet.org/index-eng.php

    https://www.intermagnet.org/data-donnee/dataplot-eng.php

    I can’t say anything about it’s accuracy, but many plots are available..

  14. Ray

    The extract described as ‘Article from 1975 Science’ is interesting.
    Is there a fuller reference or link?

      1. Ray

        Actually, as a whole, it is disappointing; just routine reporting of speculation by people who were flattered even to be asked. They had not been raised to guru status in 1975.

        The journalist manages a heap of half-truths. Perhaps that was not too bad. Nowadays, you can count yourself lucky to get half-truths.

        Still, it is interesting to find that the wavy jet stream had not been banned as a topic of conversation at that time.

        1. Deb

          This is not a scientific paper-it’s a popular TV show from 1978 on the coming ice age. They did a pretty good job on it tho.

          https://youtu.be/7tAYXQPWdC0

          It’s narrated by Mr. Spock

  15. Hayden Redwood

    Well solar flare came to nothing.

    1. TW

      Only the click-baiters sold it as anything other than possibly causing a minor disturbance

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