The following article is written by Bob Hoye of www.pivotaladvice.com.
Last week, the Global Warming policy Forum headlined “La Nina Is Here”. Why the headline? Because the warming El Nino is over and the change to the La Nina represents cooling. Like seasonal and actual climate change, it is a regular event. Which in physics means logical and predictable. And some cooling is showing up in various charts. Well, in those not altered by promoters of AGW.
Can you imagine having any number computer “models” predicting “tipping points” and out-of-control warming, but it never happens? Actually, in order to avoid unacceptable self-doubting, the climate-hysteria community then spends even more computer time altering the actual temperature record.
To fit their failing hypothesis.
Tony Heller and his new colleague, Kirye, regularly show how fraudulent the promotion has been. Basically, the control freaks theme has been “Here is a frightening story!” “I can fix it.” “Please send money and do as you are told.”
The following chart is by Kirye and it records the temperature at a station on a small island off of Japan. It begins in 1915 and suffers no urban heating. Note the flat trend.
And then the chart on Antarctic Temps for September from 1960 to current.
Naturally, charts for September are being updated. This one records various temperature series since January this year to date. The decline in the Southern Hemisphere’s winter is noteworthy, as are some headlines.
Of course, it always helps to have reports from the field:
“Record-Breaking Freeze in Queensland”
– WeatherZone, September 27.
“Spring Storm Brings Snow to New Zealand Beaches”
– The Guardian, September 28.
Over on the warming side, there have been sensational stories about wildfires in California and Oregon. These were due to exceptional outflow winds from the interior. The already hot air experiences adiabatic heating as it gets compressed going through the mountains.
It is worth looking up as well as noting that adiabatic heating of a gas has little to do with the characteristics of carbon dioxide.
Weather violence is caused by local differences in temperature.
Canada contains the world’s third largest mass of forests, amounting to some 9 percent of all forests. Should any hyper-sensitive person read this, please rest easy that the open grasslands of the Prairies were not caused by clear-cut logging. Its climate and geography.
However, just north are seemingly endless trees extending roughly 7,000 kms from British Columbia on the Pacific to Labrador on the Atlantic.
And most of this is called a boreal forest and here is a chart of the severity of forest fires. As recorded by province this season is well below average. Perhaps low enough to merit some headlines?
What’s more, the vast boreal region “suffers” the same atmospheric concentrations of CO2 as California and Oregon. Local fires have local causes.
The following chart records Forest Area Burned and the Number of Fires, since 1990. Obviously, funding and marching orders for BLM and Antifa do not extend to torching Canada’s boreal forests.
Putting sarcasm aside, one of the features of declining solar cycles has been global cooling along with increasing cloud cover.
Typically, the low for Arctic sea ice extent occurs in September and the following is the update for this year. Note the possible change to a flat-lying trend over the past 13 years (Source: NSIDC Boulder).
And to end on an ironical note, the last image is:
El Nino warming is coming to an end, but it can take a little while for La Nina cooling to impact the global temperature record — be sure to check back with the UAH in Feb/March, 2021.
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