Late-October threatened it, early/mid-November looks set to deliver it. The Global Forecast System (GFS) is confident of a potentially historic bout of early-season snow battering the UK this weekend.
Brits have been suffering well-below-average temps over the past 5 weeks, with October’s CET finishing-up at a meager 10C (50F) — a reading on par with Octobers of the mid-to-late 1600s. And that cold-pattern looks set to continue long into November too, only now with the added-potential for historic early-season snow.
Scotland has already received a little taster of what’s about to come — heavy snow was reported earlier this morning (Nov 07) at Glenshee and the Lecht, as reported by @highlandweather on Twitter:
Latest GFS runs appear to be doubling-down on the next and potentially historic bout of biting Arctic air — on course to hit Northern Ireland, Scotland, Wales, and England (even southern England) this weekend.
According to the models, we’re now just 54hrs out.
Low temperature records are under-threat, with the mercury set to sink well-below freezing across the majority of the home nations:
GFS TEMP ANOMALY (as much as 10C below-average)
And that Arctic air will crash into potent Atlantic weather fronts, delivering heavy snow across Scotland and Northern Ireland beginning Friday evening, and to the majority of the UK by Saturday and Sunday.
All-time November snowfall records are also under threat, as 20+ cm (8+ inches) could accumulate over high ground. Totals of 5+ cm (2+ inches) at anomalously-low-levels could also result in some travel disruptions:
GFS TOTAL SNOW (CM) NOV 08 – NOV 10
And looking further ahead, into the rather unreliable time-frame (admittedly); by the morning of Friday, Nov 15, the majority of the UK could be buried under as much as 30+ cm (12+ inches) of -what would be- record-breaking mid-November snow:
GFS TOTAL SNOW (CM) NOV 08 – NOV 15
All this powder will add to the early falls seen across North America, Russia and Scandinavia of late, along with the record-amounts of pack that survived 2019’s summer melt season.
Against all the global warming odds, this years Total Snow Mass for the NH is off to a colossal start:
The cold times are returning in line with historically low solar activity.
Prepare — grow your own.
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Grand Solar Minimum + Pole Shift