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European Energy Prices Hit Fresh Records As “Snow-Laden Polar Plunge” Looms–Rolling Power Outages Expected This Winter

European Energy Prices Hit Fresh Records As “Polar Plunge” Looms

Thanks to our bumbling, echo chamber-dwelling betters at COP26, EU carbon prices hit a record Eur66/mt on November 15–the first trading day after the UN Climate Change Conference. Energy prices also witnessed a sharp uptick, driven by extreme cold weather forecasts.

The price of EU carbon dioxide allowances (EUAs) under the EU Emissions Trading System (ETS) closed at Eur65.93/mt — that’s a rise of 4 percent. While European gas prices ended the day above Eur80/mt — an increase of 7 percent.

As reported by, temperatures across much of Europe are forecast to plunge well-below seasonal average in the final week of November as a powerful Arctic front descends deep into the continent.

The latest GFS run (shown below) confirms this, and sees the mercury tumbling as much as 10C below the November norm.

GFS 2m Temperature Anomalies (C) Nov 25 [].

Lows of -10C (14F) are set to hit the UK before the month’s end as a “snow-laden polar plunge” kick-starts what threatens to be “the worst winter since the Big Freeze of 2010,” reports the quoting James Madden, a forecaster for Exacta Weather.

“Waning solar activity means chances are high for a little ice age winter this year with notable periods of cold and snow,” explains Madden. “We have high confidence for the most cold and wintry conditions since Dec 2010 developing towards the end of the year. This could bring excessive cold temperatures and periods of widespread snow.”

This forecast is supported by Centrica, Britain’s top energy supplier, who has warned its 9 million customers to prepare for an icy blast that could last as long as six weeks, reports

GFS Total Snowfall (cm) Nov 22 – Dec 2 [].

This doesn’t bode well for UK energy supplies which have already been depleted this year due to 1) last winter’s historic and long-lasting chill, and 2) failing renewables. As reported by Bloomberg, power prices in the UK soared to GBP2000 (the second highest level on record) on Monday as low wind levels exposed the market to a supply crunch.

The story is the same across much of Europe, too, as well as in transcontinental Russia. According to a note from EnergyScan: “The power spot prices soared near 230€/MWh in NW Europe, lifted by forecasts of higher demand and weak wind and solar generation.”

Rolling Power Outages Expected This Winter

Europe risks rolling power outages if there is a prolonged period of cold weather this winter — this is according to the chief executive of Trafigura, one of the world’s biggest commodity traders.

Speaking to the Financial Times, Jeremy Weir said there was still insufficient natural gas across the continent despite the promise of increased flows from Russia: “We haven’t got enough gas at the moment quite frankly. We’re not storing for the winter period. So hence there is a real concern that … if we have a cold winter that we could have rolling blackouts in Europe.”

Russia had ordered their state gas giant Gazprom to begin filling the storage facilities it controls in Germany and Austria, boosting hopes that exports to Europe would rise. However, there has been only limited increases in supply from Russia over the past week and on Monday Gazprom booked lower pipeline capacity for December, continues the FT article.

Some industries have already been forced to cut production as a result of shortages/record prices, and markets are expected to remain tight until at least the spring of 2022.

Europe is heavily reliant on gas after abandoning coal in a bid to save the unicorns from the boogeyman–or some such nonsense, but the upshot of such an extreme policy is that governments are now cutting the gas supply to non-essential industries in an attempt to maintain the electricity grid. However, Weir isn’t convinced that these measures will be enough to stave off blackouts.

The COLD TIMES are returning, the mid-latitudes are REFREEZING, in line with the great conjunction, historically low solar activitycloud-nucleating Cosmic Rays, and a meridional jet stream flow (among other forcings).

Both NOAA and NASA appear to agree, if you read between the lines, with NOAA saying we’re entering a ‘full-blown’ Grand Solar Minimum in the late-2020s, and NASA seeing this upcoming solar cycle (25) as “the weakest of the past 200 years”, with the agency correlating previous solar shutdowns to prolonged periods of global cooling here.

Furthermore, we can’t ignore the slew of new scientific papers stating the immense impact The Beaufort Gyre could have on the Gulf Stream, and therefore the climate overall.

Prepare accordingly— learn the facts, relocate if need be, and grow your own.

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Grand Solar Minimum + Pole Shift

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15 Thoughts to “European Energy Prices Hit Fresh Records As “Snow-Laden Polar Plunge” Looms–Rolling Power Outages Expected This Winter”

  1. Tony

    Again,this is not gonna happen just like the cold and snow isn’t gonna happen in the USA like you bragged about in one of your previous posts.You are as bad as the warmists.

    1. Andrew J Ulsaker

      At least he let your comment thru…if nothing else it’s entertaining..better than listening to the Dailey Climate change caused this and that drivel we have shoved our way….
      …..we are .5c above average in world temp today (land) and .4c above for sea temps…that’s the truth ATM…doesn’t really change much but I check it daily…we are much above in the Arctic which seems par for the course for many years now and below average for the Antarctic…

      1. Gabric

        GFS is often silly little bat, please follow ECMWF.

    2. saveenergy

      Tony, it’s a forecast …you’ll only have to wait 3 weeks to find out how accurate.

    3. Mystic’s Mystic

      Perihelion occurs on January 4, 2022. The sun makes it’s closest approach to the earth. Will that modify the model predictions? Probability so but it is also making it possible for extreme temperatures in the Southern Hemisphere as the sun is at it’s furthest point from the earth during the Southern Hemisphere winters. I believe the worst of this winter comes after January 4, 2022. This orbit I believe is creating the opportunity for overlapping snow seasons in the spring and fall with both hemispheres snowing. I thought that three or four years ago and it is proving to be getting more acute.

    4. Matt Dalby

      There is a danger that too much attention is paid to one particular model run especially as they can be quite unreliable beyond 8-10 days ahead. However to be fair to Cap he does often mention that some of the forecasts he features are in the unreliable time frame.
      With respect to Europe’s upcoming polar plunge, the models have been hinting at it for at least 3 days. Once this happens, i.e. successive model runs show the same general pattern, there starts to be a much higher probability that it will happen. This is especially true if different models start to converge on the same weather type, which has happened for Europe at the end of the month. The only disagreement seems to be whether it will be cold or very cold, and exactly where will see the heaviest snow.

      1. Scott

        Everybody spare a thought for those poor souls who let air out of tyres in Glasgow, they knew not what they were doing. It’s not right that they should now freeze their [email protected] off.


    5. Currently, the Accuweather forecast for Detroit for the weekend after Thanksgiving is for snow, just like when I lived there in 1974. It was cold and snowy then, and it’s forecasted again. Snow fun!

    6. Cap Allon

      The Western U.S. broke snowfall records recently. Also, solar activity is historically low–this is having an impact on our weather/climate (unlike CO2+) and will continue to. This NH winter will be a doozy, for most places. Feel free to tear me to shreds in March if it wasn’t.

      1. Ice Age Eugenics and Biodigital-Convergence Now.Info

        Vaccination Status Is Temporary, Boosters for Life Required – Zev Zelenko – Desantis – Mercola – Perpetual Vaxx Tyranny – Ice Age Eugenics

        Perpetual Booster Sheep – Vaccine Zombies – Eugenics Works and it’s OK… ice age ahead (mini/maxi) (famines/die offs ww)×900

  2. Talis Forstmanis

    Your use of metric units is horribly bad. WTF is “Eur65.93/mt”? Per milliton??
    Also, it is 5 ℃ with a space between the number and unit of measure. (Example).

  3. Stephen Fox

    Every year at around this time James Madden of Inexacta Weather comes out with the same UK forecast of months of arctic blizzards and subzero temperatures. It never happens. I expect we’ll get some chilly weather, and maybe some snow. Why publicize people who are always wrong? It’s like the other side.
    One day we no doubt will get a winter like 1947, but when is unknowable, at least currently.

  4. Jet A

    Tony can you back up your statement???

  5. DIrk Pitt

    The models change dramatically during an average day with different volcanos erupting. The HURRICANE N of Iceland right now 11/17/21 is HURRICANE Wanda gusting N 90mph Greenland. Snowy hurricane headed East over Sweden then drops to Moscow on the way to the Volga above the Caspian and then back UP into the Arctic into ANOTHER giant low which forms between Iceland Svalbard and Norway.
    Hurricane Wanda formed from La Palma and C America volcanic heat plumes, these are not normal storms. Etna could go off AGAIN and change the whole pattern like YESTERDAY. Take long range forecasts with a grain of salt and a pint of ale, they won’t normalize until the volcanos get quiet again. If ever, nobody knows.
    Rolling EU blackouts subject got WORSE yesterday when Germany nixed Nord Stream 2 in the never ending resource war. Scripted BS .

  6. Deb

    I like the poster with the sheep. Ain’t it the truth!

    I thought of a comeback to that dentist’s nurse, or anyone else, who wants me to get vaxxed. I’m going to ask her why she got vaxxed. If she says to prevent getting Covid, then I’ll ask her why she is concerned about coming in contact with the unvaxxed.

    IF the vax worked, then only the unvaxxed would be getting sick, and they would be getting what they deserve for staying unvaxxed. So why are the vaxxed pushing it?

    But if the vax doesn’t work, why should I get it? These people have had the logic circuits in their brains shorted out by indoctrination. But I’ll try…

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