Torrential rainfall is expected in parts of eastern Spain over the next 24-36 hours, with more than 400mm possible. Major flooding and loss of life is likely.
Multiple models are in good agreement that torrential rains will deluge parts of eastern Spain as we head into the weekend.
Here’s what www.severe-weather.eu had to say in their latest update:
In response to the cutoff low moving southwards across the western Iberian peninsula, a strong easterly to northeasterly flow develops over the western Mediterranean.
Warm, very moist air will push into the coastal area, leading to buildup of convective instability. Additionally, orographic lift will enhance conditions for torrential rainfall.
Convective and orographic rainfall is expected through persistent training thunderstorms: locally over 200mm and possibly close to or even over 400mm will accumulate over the next 24 to 36 hours.
Hourly detail of the rain about to hammer Spain. It looks like just north of Valencia will bear the brunt.
— wxcharts (@wxcharts) October 18, 2018
UPDATE: 200-400 mm of rainfall possible in eastern Spain today and tomorrow &8211; major flooding possible! https://t.co/kNewsoaz8c
— severe-weather.EU (@severeweatherEU) October 18, 2018
There is a HIGH RISK of major flooding: the recent devastating and deadly floods in southern France and on Mallorca in the past two weeks occurred with similar rainfall totals.
Valencia, Castellon, Teruel, Cuenca and parts of Alicante are likely to be hit the hardest.
Welcome to the Grand Solar Minimum.
GSM = influx of Cosmic Rays = increased Cloud Nucleation
[Featured Image: Rainfall totals across the Iberian peninsula late on Friday — AROME model]