Summer is just around the corner, yet it’s snowing ACROSS Europe.
It snowed in the Dutch province of Brabant yesterday, May 7.
In fact, heavy thundersnow was reported: “A unique combination in May,” reads a recent weer.nl article.
Holland’s cold spell, which has been going on for almost two months now, has been severe.
The nation as a whole just suffered its coldest April since 1986 (solar minimum of cycle 21) — average temps finished some 3.2C below the climatological norm of 9.9C.
April’s historic chill also delivered a total of 10 snow days, which made for the most snow recorded in the Netherlands in April since 1977 (solar minimum of cycle 20).
And the snow has continued into May, too — an incredibly rare phenomenon.
“It’s May 7 … and it is snowing! What’s going on?” exclaimed one Brabant local on social media.
Another tweeted: “Welcome to May 7! Considerable snow just in the east of Brabant…”
The snow settled on the ground, “which is very rare nowadays in the third spring month,” continues weer.nl.
“People can’t believe their eyes.”
German Cities Log their First May Snowfall since the 1960s
With an average temperature of just 6C (42.8F), April 2021 was Germany’s coldest April since that of 1977 (solar minimum of cycle 20). The country’s average reading finished a whopping 3C below the 1991-2020 climatological norm, and even 2.3C below the previously-used 1981-2010 baseline.
And now in May, as is the case in many other European nations, the cold is lingering.
According to reports, rare May snow is hitting regions such as Potsdam — the cities’ first May flakes since 1969.
Snowfall is also being observed in Berlin — and after a quick ERA5 analysis, it is revealed that in the past 70 years, May snow has only fallen in the German capital on three occasions: in 1991, in 1978, and back in 1970.
Looking ahead, today, May 8, looks set to be another cold one across Europe.
But then, by Sunday, May 9, a narrow corridor of central Europe, which includes France, the Netherlands, Belgium and Germany, will find themselves on the other side of a weak and wavy “meridional” jet stream setup, meaning anomalous heat will be pulled up from Africa:
This is yet another example of the ‘Swings Between Extremes’ we can expect during times of historically low solar activity, such as we’re experiencing now (see link below). Parts of Holland, for example, are set to flip from freezing conditions and snow on Saturday, to highs of 23C (73.4F) by Monday.
This central European warmth could prove very short-lived, however, as another switch could be on the cards.
By Tuesday, May 11, these same regions look set to be above the jet stream again, meaning they’ll be exposed to another shot of polar air being pulled down from the Arctic.
The cold then looks set to intensify even further over following few days.
Below are the GFS runs for Wednesday, May 12 and Thursday, May 13:
Such meridional jet stream flows are tricky to forecast, so only time will tell how the above models do.
Look (below) at the “mess” that is the current setup high-above the North Hemisphere.
Count the troughs/ridges around the extratropics — Doc V on Twitter makes it eight:
And finally, eyeing even further ahead –and admittedly into the even more unreliable time-frame– just look what’s currently in store for the majority of Europe around the third week of May, particularly eastern regions:
Stay tuned for updates.
The COLD TIMES are returning, the mid-latitudes are REFREEZING, in line with the great conjunction, historically low solar activity, cloud-nucleating Cosmic Rays, and a meridional jet stream flow (among other forcings).
Both NOAA and NASA appear to agree, if you read between the lines, with NOAA saying we’re entering a ‘full-blown’ Grand Solar Minimum in the late-2020s, and NASA seeing this upcoming solar cycle (25) as “the weakest of the past 200 years”, with the agency correlating previous solar shutdowns to prolonged periods of global cooling here.
Furthermore, we can’t ignore the slew of new scientific papers stating the immense impact The Beaufort Gyre could have on the Gulf Stream, and therefore the climate overall.
Prepare accordingly— learn the facts, relocate if need be, and grow your own.
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Grand Solar Minimum + Pole Shift