Dr Lee Gerhard: “IPCC Claims are False”

Dr Lee Gerhard: “I never fully accepted or denied the anthropogenic global warming concept until the furore started after NASA’s James Hansen’s wild claims in the late 1980s. I went to the [scientific] literature to study the basis of the claim, starting with first principles. My studies then led me to believe that the claims were false.”

Dr Gerhard is a retired geologist from the University of Kansas. He obtained a B.S. in Geology in 1958, an M.S. in Paleontology minor. in 1961, and a Ph.D. in Geology in 1964. Gerhard believes that climate change has been a natural phenomenon driven by natural processes for 4.5 billion years. But that cultural pressures now exist to identify a human cause for current trends.

As Peter Flawn, President Emeritus of the University of Texas, writes, “All geologists early in their careers are introduced to solving problems through multiple working hypotheses — of deriving solutions from the data rather than, as is common among some social scientists, settling upon a solution consistent with the reigning theory and supporting it with data selectively chosen.” Gerhard adds “that although many geologists have expressed concern about the paucity of data supporting supposed human-driven climate change, scientific tests to falsify the hypothesis have been lacking.”

In 2001, Dr Gerhard was listed as an expert reviewer of the previous two IPCC reports. He considers his stance on Earth’s climate objective and based on science, aspects he feels IPCC reports routinely lack.

“Some argue that the Arctic is melting, with the warmest-ever temperatures. One should ask, ‘How long is ever?’ The answer is since 1979. And then ask, “Is it still warming?” The answer is unequivocally ‘No.’ Earth temperatures are cooling,” says Gerhard. He states that the global temperature changes naturally all of the time, in both directions and at many scales of intensity: “The warmest year in the U.S. in the last century was 1934” with the cooling observed after 1998 “absolutely falsifying claims that human carbon dioxide emissions are a controlling factor in Earth temperature. During the last 100 years, temperature has both risen and fallen, including the present cooling. All the changes in temperature of the last 100 years are in normal historic ranges, both in absolute value and, most importantly, rate of change.”

Furthermore: “Voluminous historic records demonstrate the Medieval Climate Optimum (MCO) was real and that the ‘hockey stick’ graphic (crafted by Michael Mann) that attempted to deny that fact was at best bad science. The MCO was considerably warmer than the end of the 20th century.”

Mann’s ‘hockey stick’ was the basis for the IPCC’s conclusion that “there is discernible human impact on climate.” However, and in a first step toward restoring the rigor of science in the global climate debate, a committee of the National Academy of Sciences back in 2006 presented the results of its directed study of the science behind the infamous graph. The Academy’s report identified the failure of the hockey stick to model climate beyond the past 400 years, as evidenced by its inability to reflect the medieval climate optimum. The optimum has been extensively documented by recorded human history and proxies, but cannot be explained by computer models based on equations that assume that greenhouse gases dominate climate change. These same models predict massive increases in Earth’s atmospheric temperature because of the additions of a small percentage of human-derived carbon dioxide.

Michael Mann’s Hockey Stick graph (for more on the deception, click here).

The IPCC needed to remove the MCO from the historical record books because the period blew apart their global warming theory: any forcing other than CO2 able to cause terrestrial warming is an inconvenient spanner in the works, and so, with the help of Mann, the panel completely erased every one of them from history in one clean swipe. A brazen plan, particularly given the extensive data, records and proxies out there demonstrating that the MCO did indeed occur. These same natural records also prove the existence of the cyclic and preceding Roman-era warm event, and the very same data, records and proxies are on show again today during our modern warming event. Climate, it turns out, is driven mainly by the Sun and the impact solar activity has on the oceans: ironically, it is the IPCC that are the true climate deniers.

Dr. Tim Ball’s temperature graph for the past 1,000 years is generally considered much closer to the actual reality.

I’m sick of the lies — lies made a thousands times worse by the climatic reality that is actually fast-barreling towards us: the COLD TIMES are returning, the mid-latitudes are REFREEZING, in line with historically low solar activitycloud-nucleating Cosmic Rays, and a meridional jet stream flow.

Both NOAA and NASA appear to agree, if you read between the lines, with NOAA saying we’re entering a ‘full-blown’ Grand Solar Minimum in the late-2020s, and NASA seeing this upcoming solar cycle (25) as “the weakest of the past 200 years”, with the agency correlating previous solar shutdowns to prolonged periods of global cooling here.

Furthermore, we can’t ignore the slew of new scientific papers stating the immense impact The Beaufort Gyre could have on the Gulf Stream, and so the climate overall.

Prepare for the COLD— learn the facts, relocate if need be, and grow your own.

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Grand Solar Minimum + Pole Shift

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