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CFSv2 Forecasts Dramatic Flip from El Niño (Warming) to La Niña (Cooling) — Starting Now

The most up-to-date CFSv2 forecast for region 3.4 of the central equatorial Pacific Ocean reveals that a dramatic flip from the current El Niño setup (warming) to a La Niña one (cooling) is on the cards, beginning mid-to-late summer (NH) 2019.

The below chart reveals where the CFSv2 had the Sea Surface Temperatures (SST) for region 3.4 just a month ago.

Early June’s forecast had the black-dash line persisting with a weak El Niño setup through the rest of 2019 and into the early part of 2020:

But how things have changed in a month.

The most recent CFSv2 forecast now shows that black-dash line has shifted dramatically towards La Niña territory, and has this persisting through the remainder of 2019 and into 2020:

What’s also noteworthy is that CSFv2 readings usually tend to favour warm events.

It’s worth paying extra-attention when this particular model forecasts anything cold.

La Niña’s are associated with much cooler global temperatures.

Furthermore, as we’ve touched-on in the past, if you take out the El Niño (warming) spikes, global average temperatures have remained relatively unchanged since the beginning of the satellite era:

Latest Global Average Tropospheric Temperatures (

Once this current El Niño moves on and is replaced with even a weak La Niña, we can expect the UAH (above) to show a continuation of the sharp cool-down that began at the end of 2015/16’s record super El Niño — below baseline readings by the end of 2019 are a realistic possibility.

The NH’s winter of 2019/20 is shaping up to be a doozy.

Stay tuned for updates.

The earth is once again cooling, in line with low solar activity.

NASA predicts the sun’s next solar cycle (25) will be the weakest of the past 200 years:

The cold times are returning.


Grand Solar Minimum + Pole Shift

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7 Thoughts to “CFSv2 Forecasts Dramatic Flip from El Niño (Warming) to La Niña (Cooling) — Starting Now”

  1. The Dude

    So is this website paid for by big oil or by the coal barons?

    1. Cap Allon


      The site receives zero funding.

      The truth is free to find.

  2. Paul Greenland

    I don’t really think that is showing such a dramatic flip to be honest, a very weak La Nina at best going off that forecast.
    There is also the huge blob of anomalous warm water in the tropical central Pacific to consider which is associated with the positive phase of the Pacific Decadal Oscillation.
    From my research it seems like there is a definite correlation between solar minima and maxima and El Nino through the 11 year cycles with El Nino’s occurring at both the peak of the maximum and the peak of the minimums.
    During weak solar cycles, such as the 1970’s it seems like the ENSO cycle drifts along with very weak El Nino and La Nina events – much like what seems to be happening at the moment, a very weak, marginal El Nino followed by what looks to be an upcoming weak, marginal La Nina episode.
    That aside, keep up the great work, love the website!

  3. Charles Dunsil

    Global warming has always been a poor joke on The people of The world in order to control the population it is all about the power.

  4. Larry callahan

    I hop that people start to wake up to the fact that global temperatures are cyclical , it’s not climate change , its people change , people change the topography , ie , cut trees down unnecessarily.

  5. Gerry, England

    What makes me laugh is the sheer spread of the predictions so as to be almost meaningless. They have shown a change to a majority La Nina but there are still many models saying El Nino.

  6. Lily Powell

    They won’t talk about this on any news program , and it’s more important than any Democrat , or Russian B S . !! Matter of fact I think most of what ” they” talk about is a smoke screen !! I think they really do want people to die!!

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