Extreme Weather 

Central England experiences Historically Chilly October

The UK’s October 2019 sure felt like a chilly one, but now official Met Office temperature data has confirmed it — Central England just experienced a month on par with those of the mid-to-late 1600s.

The Central England Temperature (CET) record measures the monthly mean surface air temperatures for the Midlands region of England, and is the longest series of monthly temperature observations in existence, anywhere in the world.

Its mean reading for October 2019 came in at a nice round 10C — that’s 0.7C below the already cool 1961-1990 average (the current standard period of reference for climatological data used by the WMO).

In the 360 years of CET data there have only-ever been 9 other years with an October average temperature of 10C — these are 1659, 1660, 1663, 1668, 1669, 1670, 1672, 1679, and 1722.

Note how ALL of these years fall within the Maunder Minimum:

The cold times appear to be returning in 2019, again in line with historically low solar activity — as was the case during the second half of the 1600s when the sun effectively shutdown for 6 decades.

Looking forward, mid-range forecasts have the UK’s anomalous-cold lingering well-into November.

Latest GFS runs show –after a one-day reprieve on the 1st– that chilly conditions will prevail for at least the first half of the month:


Real-world observations reveal the lower-latitudes are COOLING, and cooling fast.

Yes, a few far-northern areas like Alaska and the Arctic are warming slightly, but 1) no one lives up there so quite frankly, who cares, and 2) as NASA succinctly identify in their ‘Maunder Minimum Temperature Reconstruction Map’ (below)these regions are expected to warm during periods of global cooling, as are the North Atlantic, Iceland and the southern tip of Greenland:

Temp change between 1780 (a year of normal solar activity) and 1680 (a year within the depths of the Maunder Minimum) — NASA.

And regarding any Arctic sea ice melt, and the potential-consequences for sea levels, again, a non-issue. At least 90% of the planet’s ice is safely locked up in Antarctica which, for as long as we can tell, has been steadily advancing, comfortably offsetting the comparatively tiny losses observed at its northern cousin.

Don’t be fooled by bogus political ideologies. The lower-latitudes are refreezing in line with historically low solar activity. NASA has revealed this coming solar cycle (25) will be “the weakest of the past 200 years,” and they’ve correlated previous solar shutdowns to prolonged periods of global cooling here.

Prepare for the COLD — grow your own.

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Grand Solar Minimum + Pole Shift

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2 Thoughts to “Central England experiences Historically Chilly October”

  1. Andy in Epsom

    I live just outside London in the south of the country and it has been a full 1C below average using my own weather station

  2. Ben

    No matter how cold they get, no matter the US record chills or the snowfalls in Australia and other places… NASA and others will surely report this is the warmest October in the last millenium

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