Extreme Weather GSM 

Another [Failed] Arctic Sea Ice Prediction Comes to Pass

The list of FAILED predictions claiming the Arctic would be devoid of summer sea ice has grown (yet again). Prof Peter Wadhams, of Cambridge University; and Prof Wieslaw Maslowski, of the Naval Postgraduate School in Monterey, California are the latest scientists left with egg on their faces.

Back in 2007, Professor Wadhams, a self-professed leading expert on Arctic sea ice loss (a genuine field?), claimed that summer sea ice would be completely gone by 2013. However, by 2013, the reality was that levels were actually 25% higher than they had been when Wadhams made his claim.

In 2012, I assume with the foresight that he was about to be proved wrong, Wadhams bumped his prediction up to 2016, a forecast supported by Professor Maslowski, who in 2013 published a paper in the Annual Review of Earth and Planetary Sciences forewarning of an ice-free Arctic by 2016, plus or minus three years.

Once again though, far from record lows, 2016 actually saw the quickest Arctic refreeze ever recorded, with the sea ice extent advancing 405,000 m2 (1.05 million km2) in just three weeks — the Danish Meteorological Institute (DMI) noted that that rate of refreezing was the fastest since its daily records began in 1987.

That contradicting reality didn’t stop Professor Wadhams cashing in on his scaremongering, however. His book entitled A Farewell To Ice –in which he again repeated the assertion that the polar region would ice-free within just a few years– was published in 2016 to the predictably-blind critical acclaim of AGW propaganda rags such as The Guardian, among others…

But now let’s be fair to Maslowski and his crystal ball, as this prof’s prophecies did give him some leeway; he had up-until 2019, remember–“ice-free by 2016, plus or minus three years?

So, how did the Arctic’s minimum sea ice extent look last summer (2019)?

I’ll leave you with this one image (spoiler… it’s doing just fine):

Sea ice concentration calculated at the University of Bremen from 89 GHz data of the AMSR2 sensor on the GCOM-W1 satellite; background: “Blue Marble” MODIS data from the NASA Earth Observatory; 1981-2010 sea ice contour from NSIDC: National Snow and Ice Data Center.

The cold times are returning in line with historically low solar activity.

NASA has recently revealed this upcoming solar cycle (25) will be “the weakest of the past 200 years,” and they’ve correlated previous solar shutdowns to prolonged periods of global cooling here.

Our future is COLD — prepare accordingly — relocate if need be, and grow your own.

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Grand Solar Minimum + Pole Shift

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