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Another Climate Science Fail: It’s 2022, And The Ice Fields On Kilimanjaro Are Still Here

The list of failed AGW prophesies is staggeringly long, and getting longer all the time, yet it is considered heresy to call them out. Why? Because truth is the enemy of agendas, and free-thinking and the application of logic needs censoring in order for the lies to persist.

Kilimanjaro has long been at the center of climate research. In Al Gore’s 2006 documentary “An Inconvenient Truth,” Africa’s tallest mountain was used to demonstrate the effects of catastrophic anthropogenic global warming on glaciers. The film showed a series of photos of the mountain, each appearing to show less and less ice and snow cover over time.

“Within the decade, there will be no more snows of Kilimanjaro,” Gore confidently prophesied, which gave him until 2010 to be proved right. Well, an additional 12 years have now passed and those dire predictions are still far from materializing. In fact, a recent eight-day Kilimanjaro forecast called for snow on five of those days — a forecast that actually played out in the real world (climate scientists take note):


Gore’s claim can be traced to 2002, to a time when global warming meant ‘milder winter temperatures and decreasing heavy snowstorms’. Back then, predictions for Kilimanjaro actually gave snow on the mountain a little longer, stating that “if current climatological conditions persist, the remaining ice fields are likely to disappear between 2015 and 2020.”

But it’s now 2022, and Kilimanjaro’s glaciers are still around, and better still, they are doing just fine, with record snowfalls noted in recent years (particularly in 2018). This means that 1) climatological conditions didn’t persist as expected, and/or 2) the scientists got it plain wrong — both scenarios are damaging for the AGW hypothesis.

Douglas Hardy, a co-author of that 2002 paper recently said that the original research relied on existing estimates of the size of the ice fields in 1912, 1953, 1976 and 1989, and on aerial photographs taken during their February 2000 trip to Kilimanjaro.

In fairness, Hardy has admitted that the prediction was made with an important caveat: “if climatological conditions of the past 88 years continue.” Those climatological conditions didn’t persist, he said, meaning the glaciers didn’t diminish nearly as quickly as predicted, and now, are even showing signs of reversing that trend of loss.

Despite the important caveat, though, dire prophesies such as Hardy’s were used to enforce the civilization-altering policies that people are suffering with today, particularly those policies surrounding energy. Rolling blackouts and spiraling gas and electricity bills are hitting the tightest of pockets, particularly in Europe, due to the orchestrated usurping of a now out-of-favor fossil fuels sector by wholly inadequate renewables. Scientists like Hardy were assigned the task of advancing a narrative (knowingly or not), with the ‘climate crisis’ just one component of The Great Reset: the largest wealth/power transfer in the history of mankind.

Returning to the science, nobody is doubting that ice loss can and does occur, nor that, generally speaking, global ice fields have been on the decline since the 1980s. Rather, it’s the causes and the flawed projections and dire tipping point deadlines (many of which have now uneventfully expired) that have skeptics querying the motives and funding behind the research.

Also ignored by Hardy’s 2002 study, and in turn by soothsayer Al Gore, is that snow on Kilimanjaro is a function of elevation, not temperature. The higher sections of the mountain are ALWAYS below freezing, year round (summer highs touch -5.5C, with winter highs hitting a very similar -6C), and so the glaciers’ fluctuations can not be subject to ‘global warming’; rather, the ice fields are a product of moisture and precipitation patterns. Supporting this fact is the below graph, which shows that the majority of the mountains snow actually falls during the summer months–which in Tanzania run Nov through April:

https://www.snow-forecast.com/resorts/Kilimanjaro/history (Edited by TheClimateRecord) Note that in the summer, anywhere between 2 and 6 days of each week is a snowfall.


The original AGW hypothesis has failed — there is absolutely no doubt about it. Because despite man’s rising CO2 excretions, the climate has continued to behave cyclically, rather than linearly.

Over time, it is fully expected that glaciers will advance and that glaciers will retreat, but the forcings involved remain unfathomably complex–infinitely more complex than the AGW Party would have you believe.

Looking ahead, the next stop on the climate’s wheel of change is far more likely to be a bout of global cooling rather than warming. And recently, external forcings, such as low solar activity and planetary alignment, are lending support to the contention that Earth is indeed on the cusp of a sharp cool down. Already, the global average temperature has dropped 0.58C deg. C off its 2016 high:


“A good scientist, a good citizen will consider all of the evidence before coming to conclusions,” concludes Hardy.

Arctic Sea Ice is currently, as of Feb 6, at its highest level since 2003, with extent tracking well-above the 2011-2020 average, and also along the 2001-2010 norm:


Greenland’s trend of ice loss has also been on something of a reversal (beginning 2012):

[Die kalte Sonne]


And at the same time, Northern Hemisphere Snow has been increasing, particularly over the past few years.

As of Feb 6, 2022, total snow mass is holding hundreds of gigatons above the 1982-2012 norm:

[FMI]


Also worth considering:


And for good measure, here’s a (in no way comprehensive) compilation of other failed AGW “Tipping Point” prophesies:



Climate is cyclic, never linear; and the COLD TIMES appear to be returning, the mid-latitudes are REFREEZING, in line with historically low solar activitycloud-nucleating Cosmic Rays, and a meridional jet stream flow (among many other forcings, including the impending release of the Beaufort Gyre).

Prepare accordingly — learn the facts, relocate if need be and grow your own.

Social Media channels are restricting Electroverse’s reach: Twitter are purging followers, while Facebook are labeling posts as “false” and have slapped-on crippling page restrictions. And most recently, the CCDH has stripped the website of its advertising.

Facebook, in partnership with the ‘fact-checkers’ at USA Today have conspired to restrict my use of the social media platform for 90 days, meaning I can’t post anything new. I’ve been found guilty of contesting a scientific theory, which in today’s world is now considered a ‘violation’:


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Any way you can, help me spread the message so others can survive and thrive in the coming times.

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22 Thoughts to “Another Climate Science Fail: It’s 2022, And The Ice Fields On Kilimanjaro Are Still Here”

  1. The ability to predict is the best objective measure of scientific and technical competence. I have one of the best (earliest and most accurate) predictive track records on climate and energy.

    In contrast, climate doomsters have a perfect NEGATIVE predictive track record – every very-scary climate prediction, of the ~80 they have made since 1970, has FAILED TO HAPPEN.

    “Rode and Fischbeck, professor of Social & Decision Sciences and Engineering & Public Policy, collected 79 predictions of climate-caused apocalypse going back to the first Earth Day in 1970. With the passage of time, many of these forecasts have since expired; the dates have come and gone uneventfully. In fact, 48 (61%) of the predictions have already expired as of the end of 2020.”
    https://www.inderscience.com/info/inarticle.php?artid=112896

    By the end of 2020, the climate doomsters were proved wrong in their scary climate predictions 48 times. At 50:50 odds for each prediction, that is like flipping a coin 48 times and losing every time! The probability of that being mere random stupidity is 1 in 281 trillion!

    It’s not just global warming scientists being stupid – they have been 100% wrong about every scary climate prediction – so nobody should continue to believe them.

    There is a powerful logic that says no rational person or group could be this wrong for this long – they have followed a corrupt agenda – in fact, they knew from the beginning of their catastrophic global warming narrative that they were lying.

    The radical greens have NO credibility, make that NEGATIVE credibility – their core competence is propaganda, the fabrication of false alarm.

    Excerpt from my latest paper:
    “SCIENTIFIC COMPETENCE – THE ABILITY TO CORRECTLY PREDICT”
    by Allan MacRae, B.A.Sc., M.Eng., October 20, 2021, Update Nov. 8, 2021
    https://correctpredictions.ca/

    1. Wizard

      Sir, do you never tire? Do you have to plague every electroverse post with the ” I was right! I told you I war right!” mantra?

      You were right, so what? Being right is not paramount, being able to and doing something about it IS!

      Most if not all of us are “choir boys&girls” and it shouldn’t make you special to be the eldest

      1. Ice Age Eugenics and Biodigital-convergence Now.Info

        Take a wiz Wizard… maybe the point is that if the same whistle blower conspiracy theorists who were correct 20+ years ago… then maybe ya ought to STFU and try to listen up instead of beaking off like a sock puppet globalist shill.

        PLEASE LISTEN CAREFULLY (ALL of this is a matter of life and death ww)
        https://www.brighteon.com/63918778-acb6-4ebe-b881-787ee4d8eb50

        5G Powered Graphene Based Nanotech In The Pfizer Vaccine
        https://www.brighteon.com/e9f9a32b-1ea7-45f4-8906-ab3e4e12f7dc

        Follow the money…Trudeau failed to tell Canadians (or Planet Earth)
        https://www.brighteon.com/9801c7e4-1bd8-4954-88fb-57c64fd83f6a

        1. Wizard

          So I knew about the agenda for 15 years myself, what of it?

          It only took a hard slap to the face in the form of psychotic lock-downs,masks and mandatory jabs even though they don’t work for most of humanity to start asking questions about a million things they ignored in the previous “good times”.

          You should be supportive of people waking up, without throwing “I WAS RIGHT I WAS RIGHT HUH HUH HUH!” it in their face

    2. Richard Greene

      The ability to “predict” climate is meaningless when the actual causes of climate change are not known with any precision. That makes a “prediction” nothing more than speculation. Including your “predictions”.

      If you want to scare the general public, you predict climate doom every year for many decades. That’s exactly what has happened. Few people seem to care that every prediction of doom is wrong, or at least grossly over predicts global warming. Even fewer people seem to realize the future climate can’t be predicted, except by ONE person in the world — ME.

      I correctly predicted the climate in 1997:
      “The climate will get warmer, unless it gets cooler”
      After that successful prediction, there was no need for me to ever make another climate prediction

      1. Wizard

        That drew a good and honest laugh outta me

        Keep it up, sir! 🙂

    1. Anonymous

      The climate models as a group were always wrong
      They are getting “more wrong”, if that’s possible, with the newest CMIP6 computer models. The Russian INM model that least over predicts global warming, gets no special attention.
      It’s very obvious prediction accuracy is not a goal — scary predictions are the ONLY goal of the climate computer games !

  2. Duster

    The principle failure of the Kilimanjaro prediction was the complete ignorance of the actual cause of the loss of ice at the peak. Kilimanjaro’s ice fields were produced by a microclimatic situation created by the mountain itself, and the vegetation around the foot of the mountain. The forest was extensively reduced through logging and clearing for agriculture. The forest also generated an enormous amount of metabolic water vapour, pulling water out of the ground to support the trees. The hysterics also failed to understand that the ice loss was due to sublimation rather than melt. The air at the peak was drier. Had milder weather actually emerged due to any kind warming, the ice fields would have increased rather than shrunk. Warmer air is moister and would carry vapour up to the peak. More importantly this was ALL understood by around 1980.

    1. Richard Greene

      You are correct, but I think a better explanation was
      the total ignorance of Al Gore. He looked at the wild guesses of a coming climate crisis by actual scientists and piled on his own exaggerations and two cents. Gore took two elementary science courses in college and got grades of C+ and D. and then what do you know, Gore invented the internet. ha ha

  3. Dystopian

    As an electronic engineer I use feedback to create stable circuits. Without it servos and amplifiers will just go from one extreme to the other. Obviously the Earth’s climate must also have feedback mechanisms or it would be either an ice ball or a fire ball. So even if we could change the climate, which I seriously doubt, The Earth’s climate feedback mechanism would compensate and the net result would be zero.

    1. Richard Greene

      Planetary geometry has a large very long term effect on the climate. There were periods with no ice at the poles and periods when Canada was covered by ice.

      Humans change the climate too.
      By throwing pollution into the atmosphere blocking some sunlight. Building cities that absorb more solar energy due to the albedo change — local climate change. And by adding greenhouse gases into the atmosphere such as water vapor, CO2 and methane.

      Another cause of “global warming” by humans is unjustified “adjustments” to historical temperature data to create “warming” out of thin air !

  4. Balboa

    Allan, keep on rubbing it our faces all day long, in the immortal words of K.I.S.S

    Shout it
    SHOUT IT
    SHOUT IT OUT LOUD!!!!!

  5. Ice Age Eugenics and Biodigital-convergence Now.Info

    Death of a Species: Replacing Mankind with BioMechanical Transhumanism – Borg-like Humans Remote Con – and with Canada`s Trudeau leading the way.
    https://brandnewtube.com/watch/death-of-a-species-replacing-mankind-with-biomechanical-transhumanism-borg-like-humans-remote-con_c5UQFZJ1tx5PNfV.html

    Follow the money…Trudeau failed to tell Canadians
    https://www.brighteon.com/9801c7e4-1bd8-4954-88fb-57c64fd83f6a

  6. Nick

    Predicting the future is hard, especially when forecasting.

    It could be argued that human activity from 1850 onwards averted a real disaster. Atmospheric CO2 was at 280ppm at that time and plants die at 150ppm; so if humans hadn’t begun to add large amounts of CO2 back into the troposphere and CO2 had continued to fall you get the picture. Patrick Moore the co-founder of Greenpeace belabors this point but you never hear it from the IPCC or the lame-stream media because it isn’t part of the brainwashing.

    1. Matt Dalby

      Atmospheric CO2 had been largely stable at 280ppm since the end of the last period of glaciation (or so we’re lead to believe, although even on sceptical blogs I’ve seen very little evidence to the contrary). Therefore a disaster for nature wasn’t likely although the extra CO2 added since 1980 has led to a large increase in vegetation across most of the globe (as measured by satellites, which is why I said 1980 as this was the beginning of satellite measurements). Along with fertilisers, pesticides etc. derived from fossil fuels this helped increase crop yields and may have prevented widespread famine.

    2. Richard Greene

      Moore was talking about CO2 delaying the much colder climate after our current interglacial ends. That is a good point and I don’t believe he “belabors” it.

      1850 was not a disaster — it was actually warmer than in the 1690s that were quite cold. The climate is better today.

      The temperature of our planet has not changed much in the past 10,000 years, compared with the 10000 years before then, that had a lot of ice melting.

  7. Doktor seltsame Liebe

    Jewish Godfather/President of the Pfizer Planet/World Earth in charge of the global genocide is not Albert Bourla… his real name is Israel-Abraham Burla.

    For this cooperation, the Rothschilds’ commercial interests promised by the Burlas benefit to this very day. If you doubt, just investigate Genie Oil and Gas. If you doubt, just investigate Genie Oil and Gas that is owned by Jacob Rothschild, Bill Richardson, Rupert Murdoch, Dick Cheney, Mary Landrieu, Larry Summers, Jim Woolsey (former C.I.A. director).

    For the Burla’s Rothschild sycophancy the world is paying dearly through the Pfizer pharmacide of their current favorite son, Israel-Abraham Burla (aka Albert Burla).

    https://aim4truth.org/2022/01/26/global-genocide-by-jew-israel-abraham-burla/

  8. Richard Greene

    “The original AGW hypothesis has failed”

    Not true
    There was global warming at a linear trend of +0.14 degrees per decade since 1979 (UAH) as CO2 levels rose. How does that disprove AGW?

    The failure of an Al Gore prediction is a climate science fail?

    Not true.
    Al Gore is no scientists.
    He is a sleazy politician and blowhard.
    So it doesn’t matter that Gore’s predictions were all wrong.
    What does matter is ALL predictions by scientists (and everyone else) of environmental doom since the 1960s were wrong.
    100% wrong.

  9. James Cannan

    Good to see that there is a website and people prepared to question the science on Climate Change

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