Extreme Weather 

2021 in Europe: “The Year Without a Spring”

As reported yesterday, the majority of European nations shivered through their coldest April in decades, in more than century for some — and now looking at the latest mid-range models, more of the same is forecast for May.

Low solar activity is prolonging winter, it is cooling the planet (via a meridional jet stream flow, an influx of Cosmic Rays & volcanic eruptions, among many other forcings: see links at the bottom of the page) — this is delaying planting, and making life all-round miserable for growers across large portions of the Northern Hemisphere.

The year 2021, in my mind at least, will go down as “The Year Without A Spring,” because as we head into the second week of May, latest GFS run shows no signs of a warm-up across Europe (nor in America for that matter). And although there will be the odd pocket of anomalous warmth here and there, these are all-too fleeting.

This is a serious situation for farmers across the hemisphere, farmers that have already been hit with delayed planting and slow germination following the historically cold April just gone.

Below is the GFS 2m Temperature Anomaly forecasts from May 4 to May 7:

May 4
May 5
May 6
May 7

As you can see, there are limited signs of a warm-up.

Worse still, the models then see an intensification of the cold beginning May 10, which by May 13 will have walloped central and western nations with temperature anomalies as much as 20C below the seasonal norm. It is not out of the question that country’s such as France –the 5th largest grain producer on the planet– registers record mid-may frosts:

May 13
May 14

Perhaps even more astonishingly, heavy May snow is forecast over the next few days for nations such as the UK!

Even Germany, France, and Spain are set for mid-“spring” flurries.

While Scandinavia and the Alps look set for something of a burial:

GFS Total Snowfall (cm) May 4 to May 14 [tropicaltidbits.com].

Weather has always been fickle; but now, predicting patterns is getting harder and harder as low solar activity continues to revert the jet streams from their usual ‘zonal’ flow to more of a weak and wavy ‘meridional’ one:

There WILL be a warm-up at some point. Because as easy as it is for this wavy jet stream phenomenon to drag cold air down from the Arctic, it can just as easily pull hot air up from Africa (in the case of Europe); however, when the shift does finally arrive, it will likely be too late for many of the harvests, and then in turn, anomalous heat will bring its own set of problems (not least the incessant EOTW bleating from AGW proponents).

Global cooling is firmly establishing itself, due to the natural mechanisms linked below. Now let’s watch those power-hungry-politician and pop-scientists squirm as real-world observations blow their controlling narrative apart.

The COLD TIMES are returning, the mid-latitudes are REFREEZING, in line with the great conjunction, historically low solar activitycloud-nucleating Cosmic Rays, and a meridional jet stream flow (among other forcings).

Both NOAA and NASA appear to agree, if you read between the lines, with NOAA saying we’re entering a ‘full-blown’ Grand Solar Minimum in the late-2020s, and NASA seeing this upcoming solar cycle (25) as “the weakest of the past 200 years”, with the agency correlating previous solar shutdowns to prolonged periods of global cooling here.

Furthermore, we can’t ignore the slew of new scientific papers stating the immense impact The Beaufort Gyre could have on the Gulf Stream, and therefore the climate overall.

Prepare accordingly— learn the facts, relocate if need be, and grow your own.

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Grand Solar Minimum + Pole Shift

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2 Thoughts to “2021 in Europe: “The Year Without a Spring””

  1. Art Horton


    The leaching zone is growing hypothesis!

    What is the leaching zone?
    It is the area in the northern hemisphere where the upcoming winters snowfall is destined to melt off in the following spring and summer.
    Ice doesn’t just melt. It leaches out of the atmosphere 144 BTU’s of warmth for every pound of ice that melts. As snow creeps further to the south or to the north in The Southern Hemisphere, the leaching zone expands, gets deeper and remains in effect for a longer duration. It also increases the Albedo of the planet. The net effect is the lowering of global temperatures.
    Excess moisture in the atmosphere is the chief cause forcing vertical atmospheric currents into hyper drive. Vertical currents bring cold down and warmth upward.
    The earth is rapidly casting off heat.
    In an atmosphere where there is 1/3 warmth and 2/3 freezing, this mixing and inverting of the atmosphere Is ominous on the surface parts of the planet.
    According to the GSM experts, as the cosmic rays increase a consequence of the GSM, they will produce more moisture aloft. More moisture aloft combined with a dormant sun has us heading towards ice build up & the lowering of sea levels. If at some point and I hope it’s soon the moisture aloft reduces, then the melt off will exceed the growth and we are heading back to an interglacial period.

    The formation of ice in the atmosphere has a six fold compounded cascading impact. One thing happens it snows, but the impact is multiplied by six.
    1. The state change from water to ice deposits heat in the upper atmosphere at the rate of 144 BTU’s per pound of water.
    2. The snow fall causes an updraft that draws even more heat up from the surface of the earth.
    3. The snow makes a color change to the surface of the earth. The Albedo of the planet is increased. During the advancing spring, sun light will strike the surface of the snow at an obtuse angle reflecting it back into space instead of the earth absorbing that vital warmth. The greater the snow accumulations, the more sunlight is reflected back into space.
    4. When the snow in the leaching zone finally melts it absorbs 144 BTU’s per pound of snow, which Robs the earth of some of the warming rays of the sun.
    5. The snow melt increases the wetted surface of the earth creating even more opportunity for excess moisture in the atmosphere. Excess moisture creates the possibility of still more snow. Vicious cycle.
    6. Lastly just physical damage but that won’t cause the earth to discharge additional heat. The previous five will. The greater the volume of snow, the more acute all of these impacts become. Regenerative feedback. Until the chain is broken by the dormant sun returning to normal radiance or there is so much cold & snow that the atmosphere becomes arid, the thermal decline will continue deepening.
    A snow storm’s thermal exchange rate with the upper atmosphere is roughly eight times that of a rain storm because of the state change properties of converting water to ice and ice to water. A snow storm 200 miles wide would be the thermal exchange equivalent of a 1600 mile wide rain storm.
    Having said that it is important to be reminded that almost all rainstorms start out as snow. Under current conditions with excess atmospheric moisture in the atmosphere, vertical currents are in play 24/7 lowering the freeze altitude.
    Most people can readily see ocean currents and their thermal exchange impacts but vertical currents are completely ignored. Not a good idea when their thermal exchange capability is amped up but the state change properties of water to ice & ice to water.

    1. Matt Dalby

      Surface evaporation sucks heat out of the atmosphere at low levels and transfers it to upper levels when the water vapour condenses (and freezes if temperatures are low enough). This is the main way in which heat is transferred from the surface to the upper atmosphere, from where it can escape into space. Increasing the amount of CO2 in the atmosphere doesn’t affect this heat transfer, it only affects directly radiated heat. Therefore the main mechanism of heat transfer is unaffected by rising CO2, so the greenhouse effect can’t be very large. I’m not convinced that the models used by AGW proponents fully accept this, which is one reason why they overestimate the amount of warming that is actually happening.
      Also any surface warming will lead to more evaporation, cooling the surface and moving heat to the upper atmosphere where it is easily lost to space. This is an example of a negative feedback, i.e. an initial change triggers a reaction that offsets the change, helping to maintain equilibrium in the system. Negative feedbacks explain why the climate can remain fairly stable over long periods of time, i.e. a small change in temperature, e.g. a degree or two, doesn’t cause runaway warming despite all the claims of hypothetical but unproven “tipping points”.

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